5. Adjustments per sub-system of the national accounts
We distinguish three main systems within the national accounts: the supply and use tables, the sector accounts and the labour accounts. The supply and use tables describe production, consumption and value added per branch of industry. The various expenditure categories are also estimated based on this system: consumption, investments, stockholding, imports and exports. The sector accounts provide insight into all cash flows and all financial assets and liabilities in the Dutch economy. These are divided into the main sectors of households, enterprises, government and other countries and into further sub-sectors of these. Both systems together describe the entire economy and are fully aligned. What is known as labour accounts is the third main system in which the factor of labour is described according to various characteristics.
This chapter first discusses the respective adjustments at the sector level. The changes made to final expenditures and sector accounts are then discussed in turn. Finally, changes in the labour accounts are then discussed.
5.1 Value added by industries
During the revision, gross domestic product (GDP) was revised upwards by €21.0 billion (see Table 5.1.1). An important part of this adjustment is explained by the upward revision (+€17.2 billion) of value added (gross, base prices) of all industries collectively. Other adjustments to GDP relate to the adjustment of the balance of product-related taxes and subsidies (+€3.7 billion). This can largely be explained by changes in recording the energy tax credit, as described in Section 4.1 of this publication.
2021 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) before revision | 870,6 | ||
Gross Domestic Product (GDP), after revision | 891,6 | ||
Adjustment to Gross Domestic Product (GDP) | 21 | ||
of which adjusted for added value | 17,2 | ||
of which adjusted for production | 66,1 | ||
of which adjusted for intermediate consumption | 48,9 | ||
of which adjusted for taxes and subsidies on products | 3,7 | ||
of which adjusted for taxes on products | 3,7 | ||
of which adjusted for subsidies on products | 0 | ||
The adjustment to the collective value added of all industries of €17.2 billion is the net total of the adjustments in output (+€66.1 billion) and intermediate consumption (+€48.9 billion).
The adjustment of the output of individual industries and intermediate consumption are in general a consequence of the alignment to the levels in the source statistics, the use of new sources, or the use of new methods (see Chapter 3 of this publication). In all industries there are basically two causes for these adjustments, but nowhere is the effect so large that they are identified in the description of individual industries below as being a reason for value added adjustment.
First, compared with the situation before the revision, there is improved insight into severance payments granted by companies. Whereas previously these were erroneously included in part under companies’ intermediate consumption, after this revision they will be included under salaries (see Section 5.4.1). This has resulted in the total consumption of all industries together being revised downwards by €3.1 billion and, therefore, to value added being revised upwards by the same amount.
Second, during this revision, the method used to distinguish between investments in software and intermediate consumption of software was changed (see Section 5.2). The new method has resulted in the total value added of all industries collectively being revised downwards by €4.2 billion.
The final adjustment of value added is the result of a large number of upward and downward adjustments to the underlying value added of sectors. The most important upward adjustments relate to holdings and management consultancies (+€8.4 billion), financial services (+€6.7 billion), renting/leasing of moveable property (+€6.6 billion), the pharmaceutical sector (+€4.5 billion), and the public administration and provision of services to the community as a whole (+€3.0 billion). The biggest downward adjustments occur in real estate activities (-€9.3 billion), healthcare (-€3.2 billion) and the chemicals sector (-€2.8 billion). The changes in value added are explained below for all industries where the upward or downward revision is greater than €1.0 billion.
5.1.1 Agriculture
Value added in agriculture was revised upwards by €1.5 billion. Of this, €1.2 billion is a consequence of realignment with agricultural statistics, such as the agricultural census, farm financial data statistics, harvest estimates, dairy and slaughter statistics and agricultural services production statistics.
The remaining €0.3 billion of the adjustment is explained by the addition of missing units. By comparing the results from agricultural statistics with the data on the income of self-employed persons, which is based on income tax returns, and the statistics on corporate finance, which are largely based on data from corporate tax, it became clear during the previous revision that farms were missing from the agricultural census.
This concerns companies that are classified in the agriculture sector in the General Business Register (ABR) but do not actually carry out agricultural activities and are therefore missing from the agricultural census. During the previous revision, the addition of these units resulted in a major adjustment to the value added of agriculture. After repeating the comparison in this revision, value added needed to be revised upwards by a further €0.3 billion. Including these units also improved consistency with the labour accounts.
5.1.2 Manufacturing
The value added of the manufacturing sector was adjusted downwards by €0.7 billion to €95.9 billion. Some sectors within manufacturing show larger positive or negative adjustments. In general, these adjustments can be explained by realignment to the levels from the source statistics, incorporating new insights from further analysis of source data, and correcting irregularities that had appeared in the figures in the years since the previous revision and were carried through to this revision for reasons of continuity.
The value added of the tobacco sector was revised downwards by €1.8 billion. This is a consequence of the downward adjustment of output by €2.9 billion and consumption by €1.1 billion. This adjustment is almost entirely due to changed insights, sources and methods relating to illegal activities with respect to cannabis cultivation (see Section 4.3 of this revision publication and this article regarding estimating the illegal economy).
The value added of the chemicals sector was revised downwards by €2.8 billion, mainly due to the upward adjustment of consumption by €3.2 billion. This adjustment is mainly due to alignment with the current levels of the source statistics. In the years between two revisions, the focus is on estimating the correct changes in gross domestic product volumes and the components of this, and less on value levels. In the chemicals sector, the price developments of production and consumption are often high, which means that minor deviations in the price of the volume from the source statistics can lead to major deviations in the level of the value from the source statistics.
In the pharmaceutical sector, where value added was revised upwards by €4.5 billion as a consequence of an adjustment to production of +€6.7 billion and consumption of +€2.2 billion, in addition to alignment with the levels from the source statistics, two other causes play a role. First, a division of a large multinational firm was reclassified from wholesale trade to manufacturing. Second, the reviewed estimate of the illegal economy, particularly the production of synthetic drugs, resulted in an upward revision of €1.5 billion of value added.
For the electrotechnical sector, value added was revised upwards by €1.2 billion. This is partly the consequence of realignment with the source statistics and partly the correction of an error in the figures used before the revision.
The value added of the machinery sector was revised upwards by €1.1 billion as a result of realignment with the levels of the source statistics. The machinery sector has expanded considerably in recent years, which means that minor deviations to the source result in a major deviation over time.
For the other manufacturing sector, value added was revised downwards by €2.4 billion. This is almost entirely explained by the reclassification of sheltered employment facilities to the public administration sector and to the provision of services to the community as a whole.
5.1.3 IT services
The downward adjustment of €2.0 billion in the value added of IT services was the result of realignment with the levels of the source statistics. The more recent figures present a better picture of production and consumption. In this sector, output level was reduced by €0.2 billion, while consumption increased by €1.8 billion. This is mainly a consequence of the use of new figures for one large multinational firm, for which the previous revision did not provide an accurate picture. For recent years, the accurate growth rates were used and, for this benchmark revision, the accurate level estimates were introduced.
5.1.4 Financial services
The reclassification of units has led to adjustments in various financial services sectors and in the non-financial holdings sector (part of business services, see Section 5.1.6). Large financial enterprises were broken up into separate divisions and placed in different sectors. This enabled a more accurate picture across the various financial sub-domains and led to a shift in value added from banks, insurance companies and pension funds to companies auxiliary to financial services and insurance companies and non-financial holding companies.
Due to other adjustments, the value added of the banking and insurance companies and pension funds sector was, however revised upwards.
The value added of banks was revised upwards by €2.5 billion. This adjustment is mainly due to the financial intermediation services indirectly measured (FISIM). These are imputed (fees for) banking services, which are determined by differences between interest paid and received. This fee for bank services must be recorded as output in the national accounts.
Since these fees are, in practice, settled implicitly via interest receipts and payments, these flows cannot be observed directly and this is why the FISIM is used for banking services fees. During this revision, information was included from DNB’s balance of payments regarding the type of foreign-owned enterprises and institutions that borrow from Dutch banks. It was found that companies purchase many of these services, and far more than previously thought. Partly because of this, the value of these banking services was revised upwards by €2.7 billion.
Other causes for the adjustments to banks include the reclassifications mentioned above (€1.0 billion downwards) and an adjustment to the revenues from real estate renting/leasing by investment funds (€0.5 billion upwards). The latter resulted in an equal-sized reduction in the output of the real estate renting/leasing sector.
The value added of the insurance and pension funds sector was revised upwards by €1.8 billion, despite a downward adjustment of €1.7 billion due to the reclassifications mentioned above. The realignment with the source led to an upwards adjustment in the value added of insurance institutions of €2.9 billion. This largely relates to the downward adjustment of financial support companies following the use of a new source (see below) whose services are purchased by insurance companies.
For pension funds, output was revised upwards by €0.6 billion due to the inclusion of depreciation of capital from the national accounts rather than from company accounts when calculating output value. The output value is calculated as a sum of the costs, including depreciation. Depreciation is higher according to the national accounts because the national accounts include depreciation on immaterial assets and because these are based on market value. In company accounts, on the other hand, depreciation is often based on a historic cost price.
For pension funds, output and consumption were revised upwards by €5.5 billion due to improved insights with respect to investment costs, mainly relating to foreign investment funds. These administrative costs must be passed on to investors in these funds and had previously been underestimated. Particularly in 2021, administrative costs were relatively high compared with other years due to good investment results and the associated performance-based remuneration for managers of investment funds. As the output of pension funds is determined as a sum of the costs, output increased by the same amount. This means that value added remains unchanged.
The value added for companies auxiliary to financial services and insurance companies was revised upwards by €2.3 billion. The previously mentioned reclassifications resulted in an upward adjustment of €2.4 billion. The GNI action point regarding the trade margin on financial assets (see Section 3.1.1) resulted in a positive adjustment to value added of €1.4 billion. Finally, DNB’s use of a new source for financial intermediaries and financial support companies (see Section 3.2) resulted in a downward adjustment to value added of €1.6 billion. For this revision, the value added of this sector was estimated based on employee remuneration.
5.1.5 Real estate activities
The value added of the real estate activities sector was revised downwards by €9.3 billion. Of this, €3.2 billion concerns home ownership. This is almost entirely due to an adjustment in the rental value of owner-occupied homes (residential services). The rest of the adjustment of the real estate activities sector is due to operating real estate activities.
In calculating the gross domestic product, owner-occupiers produce a housing service for themselves. The output of these housing services is calculated using what is known as imputed rents. This is a model-based estimate of the rent that owner-occupiers would pay if their dwelling were rented instead of owned. This estimate is produced based on variables such as surface area and region.
The method of calculating imputed rents was changed during this revision. The current model is based on a larger number of variables than the model used prior to the revision. For instance, more variables from the BAG (Basic Register of Addresses and Buildings) were used to estimate missing rental values. The use of the new method explains almost the entire downward adjustment of €3.2 billion in the value added of owner-occupied homes.
The estimate of the private renting/leasing of homes, part of the operating real estate sector, has also been revised downwards. Only a limited proportion of private renting/leasing is observed by means of source statistics, which is why the same new method was used during the revision to estimate value added as was used to estimate owner-occupied homes. This explains around €1 billion of the €6.1 billion downward adjustment to the value added of this sector.
The remaining adjustment of the renting and operating of real estate sector is mainly due to the use of new data regarding the operation of commercial buildings. There is also limited direct data available from production statistics to estimate these figures, which is why the estimate is based on the lease payments for commercial buildings in other industries.
Based on new research, it has now become clear that commercial buildings are more often leased from industries other than renting and operating of real estate sectors than previously assumed. This research is based on new links between several registers: the BAG, General Business Register (ABR) and the national provision LVWOZ, which includes the value of buildings in the Netherlands under the Real Estate Valuation Act (WOZ).
A higher share of the renting/leasing of commercial buildings by other industries means a reduction in the value added of the operating real estate sector. The value added of banks and non-financial holding companies (part of business services) was revised upwards as a consequence of this research.
5.1.6 Business services
The value added of a number of business services industries was revised upwards, namely: holding companies and management consultancies (€8.4 billion), research (€1.2 billion), renting/leasing of movable property (€6.6 billion) and temporary employment agencies and job placement services (€1.1 billion).
The upward adjustment of the holding companies and management consultancies by €8.4 billion can largely be explained by the use of new data to calculate the output of holding companies from directors and major shareholders. Until now, these holding companies were assumed to have a limited net operating surplus as most profits are paid out to their owners as salaries. In the current revision, corporate tax data from these companies was used to estimate actual output, value added and operating surplus. The resulted in an upward adjustment of value added of €4.9 billion. It should be noted that part of this upward adjustment relates to a downward revision of the real estate renting/leasing and trade sectors (see above), since part of the additional output comprises real estate renting/leasing. This was previously attributed to the renting/leasing and trade in real estate sector.
The remaining upward adjustment of €3.6 billion for holdings and management consultancies is largely attributable to the realignment with the source (the production statistics) and reclassification of enterprises from, for instance, financial institutions to this sector.
The upward adjustment of €1.2 billion in the added value of the research (research and development) sector is largely due to realignment with the levels from the production statistics. This has resulted in an upward adjustment of output by €1.4 billion, of which €0.4 billion can be explained by improved information regarding the distribution of R&D grants across sectors.
The added value of renting/leasing of movable property was revised upwards by €6.6 billion. This sector mainly produces and uses licences and royalties. Approximately €5 billion of the adjustment can be explained by a more accurate picture of cash flow for certain Dutch subsidiaries of large multinational firms. These were previously not included in the figures or were included in a different way. The rest of the adjustment is attributable to realignment with the level of the source.
The value added of temporary employment agencies and job placement services was revised upwards by €1.1 billion. A large proportion of this adjustment is explained by realignment with the source and improved analysis of source data, including where new forms of secondment or mediation for self-employed persons are concerned. Furthermore, it was not possible to differentiate properly between the remuneration of temporary contract workers on the agency’s own payroll and the remuneration of contracted self-employed persons. This is because the remuneration of temporary contract workers should be included in the value added of temporary employment agencies, while the remuneration of self-employed persons should not. Improvements to the way in which this is recorded in the sources used have now been made.
5.1.7 Public administration and education
The value added of public administration was revised upwards by €3.0 billion during the revision. Of this adjustment, €2.4 billion is the result of transferring sheltered employment facilities to public administration. In the previous revision, sheltered employment facilities were recorded under manufacturing. Employee remuneration was also revised upwards by €0.8 billion in this sector. This is mainly due to reclassifications of units from other sectors to public administration and education, and through an improved estimate of pension contributions (for the latter, see also Section 5.4.1).
For education, value added was revised upwards by €1.5 billion. This adjustment is distributed almost evenly across publicly funded education and private education. In subsidised education, the adjustment is almost always due to an upward adjustment in employee remuneration. The revised remuneration can partly be explained by the revised pension contributions and partly by reclassifications of units that, prior to the revision, were not counted under education.
In private education, as of reporting year 2021 and as a consequence of new European directives, new source statistics became available in the form of production statistics (see Section 3.2 of this publication). Estimates for this sector were previously mainly based on labour figures. The use of this new source explains a large part of this adjustment. Another part can be explained by several units that were previously counted in other sectors but have now been reclassified in private education.
5.1.8 Healthcare
For healthcare, value added was revised downwards by €3.2 billion as a consequence of lower output (-€1.9 billion) and higher intermediate consumption (+€1.3 billion). The majority of these adjustments can be explained by realignment with the source statistics. For both production and value added, this has also led to a shift between the underlying sectors within care, namely from healthcare to care and welfare.
Some €0.8 billion of the downward output adjustment relates to subsidies. Prior to the revision, €0.4 billion in subsidies was wrongly not deducted from output and a further €0.4 billion was wrongly allocated to the R&D sector instead of to healthcare. The higher intermediate consumption is almost entirely explained by an error in the previous revision (see Section 3.1.1 of this publication). The costs of indirectly imputed banking services were not added to intermediate consumption at that time. This has been corrected in this revision.
5.1.9 Culture, sports and recreation
For sectors within culture, sports and recreation, for reporting year 2021 and as a consequence of new European directives, new source statistics in the form of production statistics were introduced as a source (see Section 3.2 of this publication). The estimates for these sectors were previously mainly based on annual reports, labour figures and VAT declarations. The value added of culture, sports and recreation was revised upwards by €1.5 billion, partly due to the use of this new source. The largest proportion of this (€1.1 billion) is accounted for by the creative services, arts and entertainment sector.
5.2 Adjustments to final expenditures
The figures for the various components of final expenditure were also revised in this revision. In Table 5.2.1, the adjustment of gross domestic product is broken down according to the various components of the final expenditure.
2021 | ||
---|---|---|
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) before revision | 870,6 | |
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) after revision | 891,6 | |
Adjustment of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) | 21 | |
of which adjusted for household consumption incl. NPISH | 19,5 | |
of which adjusted for government consumption | 2,1 | |
of which adjusted for investment in fixed assets | 0 | |
of which adjusted for change in inventory | 10,4 | |
of which adjusted for exports of goods and services | 38,5 | |
of which adjusted for imports of goods and services | 49,6 | |
The adjustment for each component of final expenditure is explained below.
5.2.1 Household consumption including NPISH
Household consumption including non-profit institutions serving households (NPISHs) was revised upwards by €19.5 billion. A large number of sources are used to estimate household consumption. The most important of these are the annual retail production statistics and the five-yearly Budget Study, which was last conducted in 2020. The retail trade production statistics are used together with a several other production statistics to determine the supply available for consumption. The Budget Study is mainly used to determine the distribution of consumption over the various types of goods and services. Realignment with the sources is generally the most important explanation for the adjustment to household consumption, and the source may differ depending on the component of consumption.
The largest upward adjustment within household consumption, of €6.9 billion, relates to expenditure on insurance and financial services. This adjustment is mainly due to the alignment of the adjusted output of bank and pension services (see Section 5.1.4).
Expenditure on energy was revised upwards by €3.4 billion. This is mainly due to adjustments in how the energy tax credit is recorded, which means it is no longer netted against consumption. Also see Section 4.1 of this revision publication.
Expenditure on means of transport and services was revised upwards by €4.6 billion. This is partly because imports of used vehicles had previously been underestimated. An improved estimate was also made of the consumption value of the personal use of lease vehicles. Furthermore, expenditure on home furnishings and housekeeping was revised upwards (by €3.2 billion), as was information and communication (by €1.3 billion). These adjustments relate mainly to realignment with the Budget Study and the retail trade production statistics.
The upward adjustment of expenditure on recreation and culture (by €1.8 billion) is a consequence of alignment with new production statistics for the culture, sports and recreation sector (see Section 5.1.9).
The upward adjustment of expenditure on education services (by €1.3 billion) is also largely the result of alignment with new production statistics (see Section 5.1.7).
Consumption of own production by non-profit institutions for households (part of other services n.i.e.) was revised upwards by €1.1 billion. This mainly relates to the reclassification of units between market producers and non-market producers (see Section 3.4).
Items revised downwards included expenditure on private renting/leasing and the imputed rents for owner-occupied housing (by -€4.1 billion). This was due to a change in the method of calculating the imputed rents (see the description of the adjustment in Section 5.1.5).
The downward adjustment of the consumption of social security (by -€1.3 billion) was the result of realignment with the government and care statistics.
5.2.2 Government consumption
Government consumption was revised upwards by €2.1 billion. Government consumption can be divided into in-kind consumption (consumption purchased from market parties) and non-market production consumption (consumption of goods and services produced by the government itself, such as by municipalities, central government ministries and other government organisations). Of the adjustment in public consumption, €1.0 billion is attributable to in-kind consumption, with the remaining €1.1 billion relating to non-market production consumption.
The adjustment of in-kind consumption is largely due to the student travel product now being registered as an in-kind social benefit. Student travel products were previously registered as social benefits in cash and formed part of household consumption.
The adjustment of the consumption of non-market production is due to the hundreds of institutions that were reclassified as government in this revision. During the revision, it was established that the government has control over these institutions. These units are mainly involved in producing non-market goods and non-market services that are largely consumed by the government itself. In the previous revision of the national accounts, these institutions were still part of non-financial public companies or non-profit institutions for households (see also Section 3.4).
5.2.3 Investments in fixed assets
Total investment in fixed assets was revised upwards by only €20 million. Some major adjustments were made within the various types of fixed assets, but in total these offset one another almost entirely. Most adjustments were the result of realignment with the levels from the source statistics, the use of new methods and the use of new source information, and because the investment survey was expanded to include several new sectors.
The largest adjustment involved investment in software. As a consequence of an improved estimation method, this was revised downwards by almost €6 billion. This is due to the use of new source information from the investment survey, supplemented with information from production statistics. The source information from the investment survey first became available during the previous revision, but was not considered suitable for inclusion in the estimation at that time.
Investment in housing was revised upwards by €2.5 billion, mainly following an upward adjustment of output in the construction sector on which the estimate of investment in residential premises is based.
Investment in R&D was also revised upwards by €2.1 billion as a consequence of realignment with the sources and the use of an improved estimation method. Realignment with the sources relates to the alignment of the supply of R&D services, which was revised upwards (+€2.7 billion), including from the statistics for the research sector (+€1.2 billion, see Section 5.1.6), from imports (+€1.1 billion) and from other sectors. Most of this increased supply was allocated to investment, with rest being allocated to exports and research sector consumption. The improved estimation method concerns in-house investment by market producers. A profit mark-up of 8 percent of the cost is now applied for that whereas, prior to the revision, this was calculated without a profit mark-up. The impact of this is approximately +€0.2 billion.
Another significant adjustment is in computer investment, which was revised upwards by €1.1 billion. This is largely due to investment in data centres, which was previously reported by some respondents as investment in machinery and equipment. This is also the most important explanation for the downward adjustment of investment in machinery and equipment. Investment in general fixed assets was also revised upwards by €1.3 billion. This is partly due to improved estimations of investment in solar panels and partly due to the use of new source information from the investment survey. Since 2021, this survey has been expanded to include the healthcare, private education and culture, sports and recreation industries.
5.2.4 Changes in stock
Changes in stock were revised upwards by €10.4 billion as a consequence of the use of new source data. During the revision, a correct source file was used for reporting year 2021 to replace a file with incorrect data that had been used during the original estimate. This correction explains the changes in stock almost entirely. This error was not made in other reporting years.
5.2.5 Imports and exports
The trade balance was revised downwards by €11 billion, from €98 billion to €87 billion. The trade balance in goods was revised downwards by €8.2 billion and that in services by €2.9 billion.
In the international trade in services, imports and exports were revised upwards. This is due to the alignment of trade flows with international trade statistics, which resulted in the upward revision of the import of services by €42.7 billion and the export of services by €39.8 billion. This is largely due to adjustments in imports and exports of royalties and licences and, in the case of imports, also due to an adjustment by pension funds in the import of foreign investment fund services (see Section 5.1.4).
For international trade in goods, source statistics were used that are based on the transfer of goods across borders. In this revision and for the first time, this source statistic was converted in the source section to imports and exports based on the transfer of economic ownership, the concept on which imports and exports should be based in national accounts. This ensures that the source statistics are more closely aligned with the national accounts system, which requires fewer adjustments to trade import and export totals in the source statistics to match the concepts in the national accounts.
The €8.2 billion adjustment in the trade balance in goods is the result of a downward adjustment of exports by €1.3 billion and an upward adjustment of imports by €6.9 billion. The upward adjustment of imports can partly be explained by the adjustment to the changes in stock described in the previous section. The use of incorrect source data on stocks in the original 2021 estimate incorrectly reduced the estimate of goods imports to align these with the incorrect data on stocks. That change was reversed in this revision, resulting in an upward adjustment of goods imports. Another part of the upward adjustment can be explained by the import of second-hand cars (see Section 5.2.1).
The downward adjustment of exports is the balance of an upward adjustment of exports from Dutch output by €23.6 billion and a downward adjustment of re-exports by €24.9 billion. The adjustment to imports is due to a €32.3 billion adjustment of imports for domestic use and the downward adjustment of €25.3 billion in imports that are part of re-exports. This revision saw improvements in identifying the import and export flows associated with Dutch production that takes place abroad. This has led to higher imports and exports related to Dutch production abroad but did not lead to a major revision of the total trade balance.
5.3 Adjustments in the sector accounts
The sector accounts describe the related sub-processes in the economy broken down by sectors. The main sectors are non-financial public companies, financial institutions, government and households5). Both the description of the individual sectors and the sectors as a whole comprise various policy-relevant key figures. Gross national income (GNI) is used as the foundation for member states’ contributions to the EU. In addition, key figures on the current account balance, credits to the private sector and external assets within the EU are used to detect macroeconomic imbalances. The general government balance and government debt are relevant in the framework of European budgetary rules.
This section first explains the adjustments made to the key figures for the total domestic sectors and the Netherlands’ relationship with the rest of the world. These cover GNI, available national income, national savings, the national balance of receivables, current account balance, credits to the private sector and external assets. Various sector-specific key figures are then explained for the government and household sectors.
5.3.1 Adjustments to key figures for the total domestic sector
5.3.1.1 Gross national income
Gross national income (GNI) equals the sum of GDP and the primary income balance with the rest of the world. The Netherlands’ primary income balance with the rest of the world comprises transactions that are counted as primary income. This includes employee remuneration, taxes and subsidies related to production, and income from assets.
GNI for the 2021 reporting year was revised upwards by €17.9 billion. This adjustment is the result of the upward revision of GDP (explained in Sections 5.1 and 5.2) and a downward revision of the primary income balance by €3.1 billion.
2021 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Gross national income (GNI), before revision | 884,5 | ||
Gross national income (GNI), after revision | 902,4 | ||
Adjustment to gross national income (GNI) | 17,9 | ||
of which adjusted for GDP | 21 | ||
of which adjusted for primary income balance between the Netherlands and other countries | -3,1 | ||
of which compensation of employees | 1,8 | ||
of which tax on production and imports | 0,3 | ||
of which capital income | -5,2 | ||
The following revision changes resulted in adjustments to the primary income balance with the rest of the world:
Balance of remuneration of employees with the rest of the world (+€1.8 billion)
The adjustment to the balance of employee remuneration comprises an upward adjustment of €1.4 billion to the remuneration received by resident employees from abroad and a downward adjustment of €0.4 billion to the remuneration paid by the Netherlands to non-resident employees. The remuneration received from the rest of the world is adjusted first of all because remuneration received from international organisations based in the Netherlands (e.g. the International Court of Justice) was erroneously not included in the receipts. For the purposes of the national accounts, international organisations established in the Netherlands are viewed as part of the rest of the world. This omission was identified in the GNI verification (see Section 3.1.1). Incorporating it in the revision has resulted in an adjustment of €0.5 billion.
The remainder of the adjustment to remuneration received from the rest of the world is due to an additional realignment with the source (which is based on tax returns). A significant part of this adjustment is due to the assumption, prior to the revision, that the source used comprised remuneration including social contributions. As this assumption proved to be incorrect, an estimate of the missing social contributions was added during this revision.
Balance of income from assets with the rest of the world (-€5.2 billion)
The balance of income from assets with the rest of the world was revised downwards by €5.2 billion. Underlying this are several adjustments that largely cancel each other out at the macro level. The most important adjustments are discussed below.
The balance of interest paid to and received from the rest of the world was revised downwards by €4.5 billion. Of this, €2.9 billion was the result of an adjustment to imputed bank services. Interest includes an implicit fee for financial services. This fee is included in the sources as interest, but is booked as output and use of a service in the national accounts. Consequently, an adjustment to the bank service results in an inverse adjustment in interest. The part of interest flows that is recorded as imports and exports of a service was revised by €2.9 billion. This revision is described in more detail in Section 5.1.4. As imports and exports of banking services are counted against the balance of interest, the impact of adjusting bank services according to GNI is much lower than the impact on GDP.
The remaining adjustments to the balance of paid and received interest are mainly a consequence of the mixed use of current source information and new sources. A large proportion of these adjustments (-€2.4 billion) is accounted for by the financial institutions sector and intra-group lenders. This adjustment has a contra entry in profits on foreign direct investment and therefore has no impact on GNI.
The balance of received and paid profits from the rest of the world for the captive financial institutions sector was revised downwards by €1.4 billion. Excluding the contra entry for interest mentioned in the previous paragraph, the downward revision was €3.8 billion, €3.6 billion of which concerns adjustments at financial holding companies with Dutch subsidiaries. An extensive analysis has shown that part of the upward adjustment in value added with regard to non-financial corporations or NFCs (see Section 5.1) is accounted for by foreign-owned enterprises through financial holding companies of this kind. These profits are allocated to foreign shareholders through the financial holding companies, which reduces the balance of profits received and paid from the rest of the world.
The use of DNB’s new sources for the other financial intermediary and financial support company sectors has resulted in a downward adjustment of the balance of income from assets with other countries. The balance of profits received from abroad and distributed abroad was revised downwards by €1.1 billion for these sectors combined.
Income paid by the Netherlands to other countries for foreign-owned Dutch real estate was revised downwards by €1.8 billion. The return on foreign real estate was estimated based on return rates on domestic real estate. This is in line with the lower revenues from the real estate activities sector (renting and trade) that flow from this revision. This is described in Section 5.1.5. The estimate of the volume of foreign-owned real estate was also revised downwards based on land registry data for the purchase and sale of real estate by foreign-owned enterprises.
The income that residents receive from holiday homes abroad was revised downwards by €0.9 billion. This income is determined on the basis of information from the tax authorities on foreign real estate in Dutch ownership. The downward revision in income is partly due to the higher estimate of costs incurred in maintaining these holiday homes, based on improved information on the value of these properties.
Dividends received from foreign investment funds were revised upwards by €0.7 billion due to improved reporting to DNB of gross dividends paid by investment funds. Previously, taxes paid were wrongly netted against dividends received in these reports. As the dividend received is part of the primary income and the tax paid is not, this grossing up results in an upward revision of the balance of income from assets.
5.3.1.2 Disposable national income (gross)
Disposable national income is the sum of gross national income (primary income) and income from redistribution transactions (secondary income). The latter category includes taxes on income and assets, social contributions and benefits, and other current transfers.
2021 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Disposable national income (gross), before revision | 877,8 | ||
Disposable national income (gross), after revision | 893,7 | ||
Adjustment to disposable national income (gross) | 15,9 | ||
of which GNI adjustments | 17,9 | ||
of which adjusted for redistribution transactions between the Netherlands and other countries | -1,9 | ||
of which taxes on income and capital | -0,6 | ||
of which social contributions and benefits | -0,2 | ||
of which other current transfers | -1,2 | ||
The gross disposable national income was adjusted upwards by €15.9 billion. Along with the €17.9 billion GNI revision, this resulted in a downward adjustment of €1.9 billion on the Netherlands’ redistribution transactions with the rest of the world. The adjustment is mainly the result of the change with respect to free shipments in the import and export of goods.
In the statistics on the international goods trade, enterprises record whether shipments are paid or free of charge. Free shipments take place, for example, when medicines and relief goods are shipped to countries in which a humanitarian disaster has occurred, or in the event free test shipments of goods. Such free shipments are recorded in the national accounts as transfers of income to the receiving sector, with import or export fees being paid by this sector. This costs the receiving party nothing on balance, but the shipment is still registered in the national accounts.
However, research has shown that the amounts reported are not actually free shipments, but imports and exports that are simply subject to payment. Both paid and received current transfers associated with these shipments have therefore been removed. The resulting net impact on national disposable income is -€1.5 billion.
5.3.1.3 National savings (gross)
The part of national disposable income that is not used for consumption is counted as national savings. National savings were revised downwards by €5.7 billion. This is considerably lower than the adjustment in disposable income (+€15.9 billion) and is mainly due to an upward adjustment to household consumption of €19.3 billion. When consumption increases, less income is available for savings. Government consumption was also revised upwards by €2.1 billion. Household and government consumption adjustments are detailed in Sections 5.2.1 and 5.2.2.
2021 | |||
---|---|---|---|
National savings (gross), before revision | 292,9 | ||
National savings (gross), after revision | 287,2 | ||
Adjustment of national savings (gross) | -5,7 | ||
of which adjusted for disposable national income (gross) | 15,9 | ||
of which adjusted for transactions of use of income | -21,7 | ||
of which household consumption (including NPISH) | -19,3 | ||
of which government consumption (gross) | -2,1 | ||
5.3.1.4 National net lending or net borrowing (balance of receivables)
The national balance of receivables is the balance of funds and expenditure on the current account and capital account. The national balance of receivables was revised downwards by €16.4 billion. As well as the downward adjustment of national savings by €5.7 billion, this was the result of a downward adjustment of inventory movements by €10.4 billion (see Section 5.2.4).
2021 | |||
---|---|---|---|
National net lending or net borrowing, before revision | 106,1 | ||
National net lending or net borrowing, after revision | 89,7 | ||
Adjustment to national accounts receivable balance | -16,4 | ||
of which adjusted for national savings (gross) | -5,7 | ||
of which adjusted for capital account transactions | -10,7 | ||
of which adjusted for stock changes | -10,4 | ||
5.3.1.5 Current account balance
The current account balance is an indicator of macroeconomic imbalances in the macroeconomic imbalances procedure (MIP). The MIP verification as described in Section 3.1.3 largely focuses on this variable. The balance on the current account was adjusted downwards by €16.2 billion to €89.3 billion. The adjustment is mainly a consequence of a downward adjustment to government debt of €11.1 billion. This revision is described in more detail in Section 5.2.5. In addition, the primary income and redistributive transaction adjustments (explained in earlier items) together resulted in a downward revision of €5.0 billion.
5.3.1.6 Credits to the private sector
Credits to the private sector were adjusted upwards by 22.8 percentage points (€250 billion) to 246.6 percent of GDP (€2,198 billion). The debts of units in the non-financial corporations (NFCs) sector were revised upwards by €149 billion and those of the households sector by €101 billion.
Over €83 billion of debt adjustment for non-financial corporations (NFCs) concerned loans from foreign entities with a direct investment relationship, or loans from parent, subsidiary or sister companies. This is partly due to reclassifications, which resulted in units being transferred both to and from the financial institutions sector, and intra-group lenders. As financial institutions are not included when determining credit to the private sector, such reclassifications directly affect this key figure. Another contributing factor is the recalibration of the updated Business Finance Statistics (see Section 3.2).
Debt adjustment for the non-financial corporations (NFCs) sector also comprised €73 billion in domestic loans from financial institutions and intra-group lenders. These are loans between an operating company and a company’s holding company. According to international guidelines, holding companies are classified as financial institutions, while the operating companies are regarded as non-financial corporations (NFCs). This means that internal corporate loans count towards private sector debt. This adjustment was a consequence of research into separating these holding companies from the operating company (described in more detail in Section 3.4).
Household debt to financial institutions and intra-group lenders and to non-financial corporations (NFCs) was revised upwards by €90 billion. These are entities such as holding companies in which households have a substantial interest (including as owner-manager). Households borrow money from these companies for tax purposes instead of having it paid out as dividends.
Debt at these types of companies, the assets and liabilities of which were not previously included in the national accounts, has been estimated for the first time based on their corporate tax returns (see also Section 3.2). If no production takes place, these types of enterprises with a relatively large balance sheet are classified as financial institutions and intra-group lenders. When production does take place, these enterprises are included in the non-financial corporations (NFCs) sector.
Increased household debt is offset by an increase in household assets, in the form of participations in these companies.
5.3.1.7 External assets
External assets, or net receivables from the Netherlands, were adjusted downwards by €181 billion to €632 billion. The balance comprises Dutch claims (assets) on other countries, which were revised upwards by €146 billion to €9,809 billion, as well as the Netherlands’ debts (liabilities) to other countries, which were revised upwards by €326 billion to €9,177 billion. The main adjustments are explained below.
New and improved DNB sources on the issuance and holding of securities (MSR and CSDB, see Section 3.2) show that Dutch entities have issued more debt securities than previously estimated, and that a large proportion of these debt securities are foreign-owned. Foreign-owned debt securities were revised upwards by €251 billion. Much of this (€108 billion) is due to intra-group financial institutions and lenders that were not previously included in the national accounts. These debts are matched by equally large receivables from the rest of the world, mostly intra-group loans. This means that for these newly included enterprises, there is no impact on external assets, resulting in a downward revision to the external assets for debt securities of €143 billion.
The balance of receivables and debts of other types of securities has also been reassessed, leading to smaller, upward adjustments to external assets. These include listed shares (up €10 billion), participations in investment institutions (up €27 billion) and other holdings (up €25 billion). Together, they result in an upward revision of €62 billion.
The balance of intra-group loans issued by non-financial corporations (NFCs) to other countries and the borrowings from the rest of the world was revised downwards by €67 billion. This is mainly due to non-financial corporations (NFCs) increasing their borrowing from the rest of the world, as described in Section 5.3.1.6. For the other sectors, alignment with a number of new sources resulted in a downward revision to the balance of intra-group issued loans and borrowings of €49 billion. However, this includes the previously mentioned adjustment for loans issued by financial institutions and intra-group lenders of €108 billion. As described in the previous paragraph, this is offset against the debt securities issued and should therefore be disregarded. For the other sectors, there remains a downward revision to the external assets of €158 billion.
The opposite effect can be seen for non-group loans. Alignment with a number of new sources revealed that Dutch entities issued more out-of-group loans to foreign countries than previously estimated, while taking on less of this type of debt abroad. This led to an upward revision of external assets of €105 billion.
The new sources therefore show that, with regard to the rest of the world, the balance of loans issued and borrowings has been revised upwards for intra-group loans and downwards for extra-group loans. The balance of loans and borrowings with the rest of the world in total (excluding the adjustment for newly listed financial institutions and intra-group lenders) was revised upwards by €120 billion. This resulted in a downward revision of the external assets by the same amount.
DNB discusses these changes in external assets in more detail in its May and June 2024 publications on the results of the benchmark revision for the international investment position.
5.3.2 Sector-specific key figures
5.3.2.1 Government sector
The government balance remained more or less unchanged at -2.2 percent of GDP. There have, however, been underlying changes in the government sector’s revenue and expenditure. These largely cancel each other out. Government revenue and government expenditure as a percentage of GDP were revised downwards by approximately 0.1 percentage point6) to 43.7 and 45.9 percent of GDP, respectively. In absolute terms, both government revenue and government expenditure were revised upwards by approximately €8 billion. However, GDP was revised upwards to a greater extent, resulting in a downward adjustment to government revenue and expenditure expressed as a percentage of GDP.
A major contribution to the adjustment of both government revenue and government expenditure comes from the change in how the energy tax credit is recorded. This has resulted in both the income and expenditure being revised upwards by €3.8 billion. On the revenue side, taxes have been revised upwards, and on the expenditure side this mainly applies to income transfers to households. For a more detailed explanation, see Section 4.1.
Another major adjustment to government revenue and expenditure relates to the recording of social security contributions. The statutory social security contributions deducted from benefits by social security funds were previously netted against benefits. Starting from this revision, the benefits and associated statutory social security contributions will be recorded separately. This change has resulted in an upward adjustment of both the contributions and benefits by €2.9 billion.
The adjustment made to government debt in euros was minimal. Due to the upward revision of GDP, government debt as a percentage of GDP was revised downwards by 1.3 percentage points to 50.4 percent of GDP.
5.3.2.2 Households sector (including non-profit institutions for households)
The gross disposable income of households was revised upwards by €1.3 billion to €446.7 billion. The various adjustments underlying this revision largely cancel each other out. The main adjustments are explained below.
The gross operating surplus/mixed income from households was revised downwards by €5.4 billion. This is largely due to the rental value of owner-occupied homes being adjusted downwards by €3.3 billion, following a revision of the calculation method. This revision is described in more detail in Section 5.1.5. There were also downward adjustments in illegal activities (see Section 4.3) and privately owned solar power output (see Section 4.2).
Remuneration of employees was revised upwards by €6.3 billion. This was the result of an upward revision of €4.4 billion relating to employee remuneration paid in the Netherlands (described in Section 5.4.1) and an upward revision of €1.8 billion relating to the balance of employee remuneration received and paid in relation to other countries (described in Section 5.3.1.1). Of this €6.3 billion adjustment, €2.8 billion will accrue mainly to insurance companies and pension funds in the form of statutory social security contributions. This €2.8 billion will therefore have no impact on the disposable income of households, resulting in a positive impact of €3.4 billion.
Profit distributions received by households were revised downwards by €4.5 billion. Realignment with the source (based on tax data) resulted in a downward adjustment of dividends received (-€3.5 billion). Income derived from the ownership of holiday homes abroad was also revised downwards by €0.9 billion (see Section 5.3.1.1).
With respect to disposable income, the adjustment of €5.8 billion is fully explained by an upward revision of consumption of pension services (see Sections 5.1.4 and 5.2.1). Total payments to pension funds are subdivided into compensation for costs incurred by pension funds (consumption) and contributions to pension schemes (social security contributions). As consumption was revised upwards, the amount in social security contributions paid has been revised downwards by the same amount. As contributions paid are deducted from disposable income, this results in an upward revision of disposable income.
Other income transfers received by households were revised upwards by €3.2 billion, due almost entirely to a change in the method of recording energy tax credit, which amounted to a reduction of €3.4 billion. This change is described in greater detail in Section4.1.
The change in recording student travel products resulted in a downward adjustment to household disposable income of €1 billion. The student travel product was previously recorded as a benefit from the government to households, which was then used for the consumption of the student travel product. From now on, this will be recorded as a direct product purchase by the government, resulting in a downward adjustment to household disposable income (and consumption).
Consumer spending was also revised upwards by €19.5 billion to €380 billion. This revision is described in Section 5.2.1. Some of the adjustments in consumer spending relate directly to adjustments in disposable income. These include the rental value of owner-occupied homes, the recording method for the student travel product, imputed income received from pension funds and changes in how energy tax is recorded.
As a result of the upward revision of consumer spending, the free savings of households were revised downwards by €18.2 billion to €66.2 billion. This lowers the savings rate by 4.2 percentage points to 19.1 percent of disposable income.
Residential mortgages were revised upwards by €21.3 billion to €807 billion. Approximately €16 billion of this amount is accounted for by mortgage loans from entities in which the households concerned have a substantial interest (see also Section 5.3.1.6). For these types of units, which were not previously included in the national accounts, the debt was estimated based on information from the units’ corporate tax returns. Mortgage debt owed by households to banks was adjusted by €12.2 billion, following the correction of an amount that had been misreported to DNB.
5.4 Adjustments in the labour accounts
For reporting year 2021, the total number of jobs held by employed persons (employees and the self-employed) was reduced by 49,000 to almost 10.9 million. The number of hours worked by employed persons was revised upwards by 223 million to 14 billion and the number of labour years attributed to employed persons was revised upwards by 16,000 to 7.9 million labour years.
5.4.1 Employees
For the employee component, the figures from the labour accounts are largely based on data from the policy administration of the Employee Insurance Agency (UWV). The policy administration data includes, for example, all payroll tax returns from employers in the Netherlands.
The remuneration of employees was revised upwards by €4.5 billion and comprises employee salaries and the social security contributions charged to employers. At the macro level, no significant adjustment was made to employee salaries (-€10 million), although this is due to a compound effect of underlying positive and negative adjustments. The cost of social security contributions was adjusted upwards by €4.5 billion. The main causes of the adjustments in remuneration of employees are explained below.
Starting from this revision, the amounts involved in severance and transition payments for labour accounts are recorded directly in the policy administration. Previously, these amounts were estimated. The part of the transition payments that employers are legally obliged to pay is counted as social security contributions, and these have been revised upwards by €1.5 billion. Non-statutory benefits relating to severance and transition payments are included in salaries and this amount has been revised upwards by €1.6 billion.
In the national accounts, several items relating to wages in kind have been realigned with the levels of the source statistics. These include adjustments to the consumption value of personal use of leased cars, meal benefits provided to employees and free or discounted travel for the employees of companies in areas such as public transport and aviation. Public transport tickets provided by employers have also been included as a new item under wages in kind in the national accounts. These new and updated amounts resulted in an upward adjustment of salaries by €1.0 billion.
The integration of figures from labour accounts with DNB’s statistics on pension contributions has been revised. The pension contributions comprise employee contributions calculated as part of employee salaries and employer contributions calculated as part of the employers’ social security contributions. As was the case prior to the revision, DNB’s macro total is used as the basis and distributed among the various industries in the Netherlands using a model estimate in the labour accounts. For the total remuneration of employees in the Netherlands, there are therefore no adjustments as a result of the revised integration method, although this may be the case for individual industries.
The revised integration did, however, result in an adjustment in the ratio of employee contributions to employer contributions, and therefore between salaries and social security contributions, compared with the situation prior to the revision: €2.7 billion was transferred from salaries to social security contributions. Previously, the total employee contributions from the labour accounts were considered leading and employer contributions from the labour accounts were revised upwards to match DNB’s macro total of employee and employer contributions combined. Starting from this revision, DNB’s totals for both employee contributions and employer contributions are considered leading.
A limited adjustment was made to the labour volumes of employees. As the estimate of illegal agency jobs was removed, the employee population has been revised downwards by 23,000 jobs. The number of labour years was revised downwards by 15,000 and the number of hours worked was revised downwards by 27 million.
5.4.2 Self-employed persons
Labour accounts data regarding self-employed persons are largely taken from the Labour Force Survey (EBB) and the profit declarations of self-employed persons. The jobs of self-employed persons were adjusted downwards by 26,000 and labour years adjusted upwards by 31,000. The total number of hours worked was adjusted upwards by 251 million.
The Labour Force Survey was redesigned in 2021, including changes to the questions relating to respondents’ duration of work. As a consequence of this redesign, the number of hours worked was revised upwards. This same redesign led to hardly any adjustment to the number of jobs and the number of labour years of self-employed persons.
The new estimate for the black economy and the illegal economy mentioned earlier in this report resulted in downward revisions for self-employed persons of 42,000 jobs, 24,000 labour years and 47 million hours worked.
The remainder of the adjustment to the labour volumes of self-employed persons was due to the use of more up-to-date source data. Some of the source data for self-employed persons became available later than the employee data, resulting in additional adjustments. These additional adjustments were slightly larger than in recent years, as the coronavirus pandemic made it more difficult to estimate preliminary figures for the self-employed population.
5) The households sector in this publication includes non-profit institutions for households.
6) In the data prior to the revision, the figures published on the basis of the national accounts and the figures published on the basis of government statistics do not correspond fully. The exact adjustment depends on which figures are being compared.