Economic growth of 0.8 percent in Q3 2024

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© ANP / Peter Hilz
According to the second estimate conducted by Statistics Netherlands (CBS), gross domestic product (GDP) increased by 0.8 percent in Q3 2024 relative to Q2 2024. According to the first estimate published on 14 November, growth was also 0.8 percent. The second GDP estimate is always published around 85 days after the end of each quarter.

The overall picture has not changed. GDP in the third quarter grew mainly because household and public consumption increased. However, the trade balance decreased.

GDP (volume), seasonally adjusted
YearQuarterIndex (2021=100)
Quarter 495.4
2021Quarter 196.2
2021Quarter 299.9
2021Quarter 3101.8
2021Quarter 4102
2022Quarter 1103
2022Quarter 2105.7
2022Quarter 3105.7
2022Quarter 4105.6
2023Quarter 1105.4
2023Quarter 2105.2
2023Quarter 3104.8
2023Quarter 4105
2024Quarter 1104.7
2024Quarter 2105.8
2024Quarter 3106.7

Second estimate

The second estimate is conducted 85 days after the end of the quarter. The first estimate is calculated 45 days after the end of the quarter, and is based on the most recent data available at that point. Following the first estimate, new information about the state of the Dutch economy continues to pour in, including data on the construction sector, business services, accommodation and food services, the public sector, health and well-being and the financial sector. These data are added and new calculations are performed.

On average, over the five-year period of 2019-2023, the difference between the final estimate and the first estimate was 0.1 percentage points in absolute terms, but ranged between -0.3 and 0.7 percentage points, both of which occurred in 2021.

Quarter-on-quarter growth adjustment

With each new estimate, CBS also recalculates the seasonally adjusted series for previously published quarters. This has not led to an adjustment of GDP growth in the previous quarters.

Growth compared to the third quarter of 2023

Year on year, GDP grew by 1.7 percent in Q3 2024. According to the first estimate too, growth was 1.7 percent. The overall picture did not change. The increase in public and household consumption contributed the most to growth. The contribution of the trade balance was slightly negative.

GDP (volume)
YearQuarterIndex (year-on-year % change)
Quarter 4-2.9
2021Quarter 1-1.1
2021Quarter 211.8
2021Quarter 37
2021Quarter 47.6
2022Quarter 16.9
2022Quarter 25.7
2022Quarter 33.7
2022Quarter 43.8
2023Quarter 11.9
2023Quarter 2-0.3
2023Quarter 3-0.7
2023Quarter 4-0.5
2024Quarter 1-0.6
2024Quarter 20.8
2024Quarter 31.7

20 thousand new jobs

The second estimate shows that the number of people in employment or self-employment increased by 20 thousand in Q3 2024 compared to Q2 2024. According to the first estimate, the increase was 18 thousand jobs.The second estimate for Q3 2024 also suggested a year-on-year increase in the number of people in employment or self-employment of 107 thousand. That was 104 thousand according to the first estimate.

Total jobs (seasonally adjusted)
   change (quarter-on-quarter change (1,000))
Quarter 4-3
2021Quarter 110
2021Quarter 2144
2021Quarter 3170
2021Quarter 467
2022Quarter 1117
2022Quarter 2108
2022Quarter 381
2022Quarter 476
2023Quarter 141
2023Quarter 219
2023Quarter 336
2023Quarter 439
2024Quarter 132
2024Quarter 222
2024Quarter 320