Manufacturing output down by 2.5 percent in October

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In October 2024, the calendar-adjusted output of the Dutch manufacturing sector was 2.5 percent lower than it was in October 2023, according to Statistics Netherlands (CBS). Year-on-year output has now contracted for sixteen consecutive months.

Output manufacturing (calendar adjusted, volume)
 maandchange (year-on-year % change)
2020November-1.3
2020December0
2021January0.4
2021February-3.7
2021March2.7
2021April11.3
2021May12.6
2021June13.4
2021July9.2
2021August5.6
2021September7.5
2021October7.9
2021November9.5
2021December12.7
2022January7.3
2022February10.6
2022March9
2022April12.3
2022May10.4
2022June9
2022July8.1
2022August8.3
2022September7.9
2022October5.4
2022November3.5
2022December4
2023January2.6
2023February3.1
2023March4.3
2023April-1.2
2023May-0.9
2023June1.3
2023July-0.4
2023August-1.5
2023September-3.8
2023October-4
2023November-3.7
2023December-0.5
2024January-4.2
2024February-1.9
2024March-5.1
2024April-3.5
2024May-3.2
2024June-5
2024July-4.1
2024August-0.3
2024September-2.8
2024October-2.5

Contraction in two thirds of industrial sectors

Two thirds of the various industrial sectors produced less than they did one year previously. Of the eight largest sectors, output fell the most sharply in the transport equipment sector. The food sector achieved the largest rise in output.

Output manufacturing (calendar adjusted, volume) by sector, October 2024
Categorychange (year-on-year % change)
Food products3.1
Metal products1.3
Rubber and plastic products0.1
Electrical and electronics-2.1
Machinery-2.5
Repair and installation of machinery-3.3
Chemical-4.5
Transport equipment-22.3
Manufacturing (total)-2.5
Altogether, the industries referred to in the above graph account for almost 80 percent of the total manufacturing output

Output decreased in October

A more accurate picture of changes in short-term output is obtained when the figures are adjusted for seasonal effects and the working-day pattern. After adjustment, manufacturing output fell by 0.6 percent in October relative to September.

After adjustments for seasonal and working-day effects, manufacturing output often fluctuates significantly. In the spring of 2020, output declined rapidly, reaching a low point in May 2020. This was followed by an upward trend until May 2022. The trend has reversed since then.

Output manufacturing (seasonally and calendar adjusted, volume)
yearmonthindex (2021=100)
2020November94.6
2020December93.6
2021January97.6
2021February94.4
2021March96.6
2021April97.5
2021May98.2
2021June100
2021July100.3
2021August99.7
2021September100.9
2021October102.5
2021November104
2021December104.9
2022January104.9
2022February104.4
2022March105.1
2022April109.6
2022May108.4
2022June108.8
2022July108
2022August107.8
2022September108.9
2022October108.2
2022November107.8
2022December108.5
2023January108.1
2023February107.5
2023March109.7
2023April108.2
2023May107.4
2023June109.8
2023July107.4
2023August106.2
2023September104.9
2023October103.9
2023November104.2
2023December107.7
2024January103.9
2024February105.4
2024March103.8
2024April104.2
2024May103.7
2024June104
2024July103.3
2024August105.2
2024September102.6
2024October102

Manufacturers less negative in November

Dutch manufacturers were less negative in November than they were in October; they were more positive about expected output, in particular.

Germany is an important market for the Dutch manufacturing sector. In November, German business owners were also less negative than they were in October, as reported by Eurostat. In October, the calendar-adjusted output of the German manufacturing sector was down by 4.5 percent year on year. Relative to September output fell by 0.4 percent, as reported by Destatis.