Manufacturing output down by over 3 percent in September

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© ANP / ANP XTRA Koen van Weel
In September 2024, the calendar-adjusted output of the Dutch manufacturing sector was 3.3 percent lower than it was in September 2023, according to Statistics Netherlands (CBS). Year-on-year output has now contracted for fifteen consecutive months.

Output manufacturing (calendar adjusted, volume)
 maandchange (year-on-year % change)
2020October-2.3
2020November-1.3
2020December0
2021January0.4
2021February-3.7
2021March2.7
2021April11.3
2021May12.6
2021June13.4
2021July9.2
2021August5.6
2021September7.5
2021October7.9
2021November9.5
2021December12.7
2022January7.3
2022February10.6
2022March9
2022April12.3
2022May10.4
2022June9
2022July8.1
2022August8.3
2022September7.9
2022October5.4
2022November3.5
2022December4
2023January2.6
2023February3.1
2023March4.3
2023April-1.2
2023May-0.9
2023June1.3
2023July-0.4
2023August-1.5
2023September-3.8
2023October-4
2023November-3.7
2023December-0.5
2024January-4.2
2024February-1.9
2024March-5.1
2024April-3.5
2024May-3.2
2024June-5.0
2024July-4.1
2024August-0.3
2024September-3.3

Contraction in over half of industrial sectors

More than half of the various industrial sectors produced less than they did one year previously. Of the eight largest sectors, output fell the most sharply in transport equipment sector. The food sector achieved the largest rise in output.

Output manufacturing (calendar adjusted, volume) by sector, September 2024
Categorychange (year-on-year % change)
Food products2.2
Rubber and plastic products1.5
Electrical and electronics0.9
Metal products-0.1
Chemical-3.3
Machinery-4.3
Repair and installation of machinery-19.6
Transport equipment-26
Manufacturing (total)-3.3
Altogether, the industries referred to in the above graph account for almost 80 percent of the total manufacturing output

Output decreased in September

A more accurate picture of changes in short-term output is obtained when the figures are adjusted for seasonal effects and the working-day pattern. After adjustment, manufacturing output fell by 3.0 percent in September relative to August.

After adjustments for seasonal and working-day effects, manufacturing output often fluctuates significantly. In the spring of 2020, output declined rapidly, reaching a low point in May 2020. This was followed by an upward trend until May 2022. The trend has reversed since then.

Output manufacturing (seasonally and calendar adjusted, volume)
yearmonthindex (2021=100)
2020October94.8
2020November94.6
2020December93.6
2021January97.6
2021February94.4
2021March96.6
2021April97.5
2021May98.2
2021June100
2021July100.3
2021August99.7
2021September100.9
2021October102.5
2021November104
2021December104.9
2022January104.9
2022February104.4
2022March105.1
2022April109.6
2022May108.4
2022June108.8
2022July108
2022August107.8
2022September108.9
2022October108.2
2022November107.8
2022December108.5
2023January108.1
2023February107.5
2023March109.7
2023April108.2
2023May107.4
2023June109.8
2023July107.4
2023August106.2
2023September104.9
2023October103.9
2023November104.2
2023December107.7
2024January103.9
2024February105.4
2024March103.8
2024April104.2
2024May103.7
2024June104.0
2024July103.2
2024August105.5
2024September102.3

Manufacturers more negative in October

Dutch manufacturers were more negative in October than they were in September. Manufacturers were more negative about expected output, in particular.

Germany is an important market for the Dutch manufacturing sector. In October, German business owners were more negative than they were in September, as reported by Eurostat. In September, the calendar-adjusted output of the German manufacturing sector was down by 5.2 percent year on year. Relative to August output fell by 2.8 percent, as reported by Destatis.