Manufacturing output over 10 percent down in September

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© ANP / Arie Kievit
In September 2023, the average daily output of the Dutch manufacturing industry was 10.3 percent lower than in September 2022, according to Statistics Netherlands (CBS). Output also contracted year on year in the preceding months of 2023.

Average daily output manufacturing (volume)
 maandchange (year-on-year % change)
2019Oktober0.5
2019November-1.6
2019December-1.2
2020January1.7
2020February-0.5
2020March-1.4
2020April-10.5
2020May-11.7
2020June-9.1
2020July-4.3
2020August-3.4
2020September-5.8
2020October-3.5
2020November-2.3
2020December0.5
2021January1.1
2021February-1.9
2021March3
2021April12.9
2021May16.1
2021June17.6
2021July13.1
2021August8.6
2021September11.1
2021October9.6
2021November10.6
2021December12.9
2022January7.4
2022February10.9
2022March7.9
2022April13.8
2022May10.2
2022June5.8
2022July5.8
2022August6.1
2022September5.6
2022October3.9
2022November0.6
2022December0.6
2023January-2.5
2023February-2.4
2023March-3.6
2023April-11.9
2023May-9.2
2023June-7.2
2023July-8.0
2023August-8.5
2023September-10.3

Decrease in most industries

Most industries produced less than in the same month last year. Among the larger industries, output fell most sharply in the machinery industry, while repair and installation of machinery recorded the largest increase.

Average daily output manufacturing (volume) by sector, September 2023
Categorychange (year-on-year % change)
Repair and installation of machinery29.9
Metal products5.3
Transport equipment-0.9
Food products-4.4
Rubber and plastic products-7.7
Chemical-12.7
Machinery-28.7
Manufacturing (total)-10.3
Altogether, the industries referred to in the above graph account for 65 percent of the total manufacturing output

Output decreased in September

A more accurate picture of short-term output developments is obtained when figures are adjusted for seasonal effects and the working-day pattern. After adjustments, manufacturing output fell by 0.9 percent between August and September.

Adjusted for seasonal and working-day effects, manufacturing output is seen to fluctuate significantly. In the spring of 2020, output declined rapidly and a low point was reached in May 2020. After that, output picked up again, until May 2022. The trend has reversed since then.

Seasonally adjusted average daily output manufacturing (volume)
yearmonthindex (2015=100)
2019October109.7
2019November108.4
2019December106.5
2020January109
2020February108.4
2020March106
2020April97.4
2020May96.5
2020June99.4
2020July103.4
2020August104
2020September104.2
2020October106.2
2020November106.3
2020December107.1
2021January110.9
2021February106.8
2021March110
2021April110.3
2021May112.1
2021June115
2021July116.2
2021August113.6
2021September115.2
2021October116.6
2021November117.6
2021December120
2022January119
2022February118.9
2022March118.6
2022April126
2022May123.6
2022June121.7
2022July122.8
2022August120.7
2022September121.2
2022October120.7
2022November118.5
2022December119.8
2023January116.2
2023February116.3
2023March114.4
2023April111.1
2023May112.1
2023June112.8
2023July112.6
2023August110.5
2023September109.5

Manufacturers less negative in October

Dutch manufacturers were slightly less negative in October than one month previously. They were less negative about the expected output and current stocks of finished products in the next three months.

Germany is an important market for the Dutch manufacturing industry. In October, German entrepreneurs showed lower confidence than in September, according to Eurostat. In September, the average daily output generated by the German manufacturing industry was down by 3.3 percent year on year. Relative to August, output fell by 1.7 percent, as reported by Destatis.