Economic growth of 3.8 percent in Q2 2021

The growth rate has been adjusted upwards. In the first estimate, which was published on 14 August, growth amounted to 3.1 percent. Compared to the first estimate, household and public consumption have been adjusted upwards.

The overall picture of the economy has remained unchanged. Economic growth was mainly due to increased household consumption and a higher trade balance. Public consumption also increased, but investments decreased.

Second estimate

The second estimate is conducted 90 days after the end of the quarter. The first estimate, which is calculated 45 days after the end of the quarter, is based on the most recent data available at that moment. After the first estimate, more new information about the state of the Dutch economy keeps pouring in, e.g. data about the sectors construction business services, hotels and restaurants, government care and the financial sector. These data are subsequently incorporated into new calculations.

The adjustment is larger than in the past five years (2106-2020). In absolute terms, the adjustment in the second estimate relative to the first estimate has averaged 0.04 percentage points over the past half decade, with the two extremes ranging between -0.2 and + 0.1 percentage points.

Quarter-on-quarter growth adjustment

With each new estimate, CBS also recalculates the seasonally adjusted series of previously published quarters. However, this has not resulted in adjustments to quarter-on-quarter growth in the previous quarters.

Growth relative to Q2 2020

Year-on-year, GDP increased by 10.4 percent. In the first estimate, growth amounted to 9.7 percent. The upward adjustment is caused by new figures on care, financial institutions, transportation, travel services and accommodation and food services. For example, hospital output recovered more strongly than previously estimated and there is an upward adjustment at the municipal health services (GGDs) for vaccinations and tests.

The overall picture of the economy has remained unchanged. Compared to Q2 2020, household consumption and the trade balance were higher in particular. Investments and public consumption also made a positive contribution to growth.

153 thousand more jobs

The second estimate shows that the number of employee and self-employed jobs increased by 153 thousand in Q2 2021 compared to the previous quarter. The first estimate suggested an increase of 133 thousand jobs.

Relative to Q2 2020, the second estimate for Q2 2021 suggested an increase of 283 thousand employee and self-employed jobs, versus 262 thousand according to the first estimate.

Job figures are adjusted when additional information becomes available.