Consumers less pessimistic in May

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© Hollandse Hoogte / Robin Utrecht
In May, confidence among Dutch consumers has improved, as reported today by Statistics Netherlands (CBS). The consumer confidence indicator stood at -9, against -14 in April. Both consumers’ sentiment about the general economic situation and consumers’ willingness to buy improved.

At -9, the consumer confidence indicator in May stood slightly below its long-term average over the past two decades (-8). The indicator reached an all-time high (36) in January 2000 and an all-time low (-41) in March 2013.

Consumer confidence, seasonally adjusted
YearMonthbalance (average of the component questions)
2017June23
2017July25
2017August26
2017September23
2017October23
2017November22
2017December25
2018January24
2018February23
2018March24
2018April25
2018May23
2018June23
2018July23
2018August21
2018September18
2018October15
2018November13
2018December9
2019January1
2019February-2
2019March -3
2019April-3
2019May-3
2019June-1
2019July1
2019August-1
2019September-2
2019October-1
2019November-2
2019December-2
2020January-2
2020February-2
2020March-3
2020April-23
2020May-31
2020June-27
2020July-26
2020August-29
2020September-28
2020October-30
2020November-26
2020December-20
2021January-19
2021February-19
2021March-18
2021April-14
2021May-9

Consumers less negative about the economy

Consumers’ sentiment about the general economic situation was less negative compared to April. This component indicator stood at -24, up from -32. Consumers were more positive about the economic situation in the next twelve months. They were also less pessimistic about the economic situation over the past twelve months.

Willingness to buy positive again

Consumers’ willingness to buy stood at 1, up from -2 in April. Consumers’ opinions about their financial situation for the next twelve months and over the past twelve months have improved. Furthermore, they found the time for large purchases less unfavourable compared to April.

Consumers less negative about future unemployment

The question whether or not someone has a job plays an important role in their willingness to buy. Consumers’ unemployment expectations were less negative than in April. Approximately 48 percent of the respondents expected unemployment to rise in the twelve months to come, whereas 34 percent anticipated a drop. The balance of positive and negative answers stood at -14, the same as in March 2020 (pre-corona). The low during the current corona crisis was -87 in October 2020.

Yesterday, CBS reported that unemployment further decreased to 316 thousand in April 2021. On average over the past three months, the number of unemployed fell by 7 thousand per month.

Expectations on unemployment
YearMonthbalance (balance % positive and % negative answers)
2017June37
2017July36
2017August45
2017September41
2017October49
2017November45
2017December50
2018January53
2018February51
2018March52
2018April52
2018May45
2018June49
2018July46
2018August46
2018September46
2018October36
2018November38
2018December28
2019January25
2019February25
2019March25
2019April21
2019May28
2019June29
2019July23
2019August11
2019September12
2019October5
2019November-11
2019December-13
2020January-6
2020February0
2020March-14
2020April-78
2020May-81
2020June-76
2020July-79
2020August-83
2020September-77
2020October-87
2020November-79
2020December-69
2021January-61
2021February-59
2021March-51
2021April-38
2021May-14