Mortality still elevated: 3,800 deaths in week 3

More recent figures are available on this topic. View the latest figures here.
© Hollandse Hoogte / David Rozing
In week 3 (18 to 24 January 2021 inclusive), estimated mortality stood at 3,800. This is 450 deaths in excess of the expected number for this period. The number of deaths in week 2 stood at 3,810. Statistics Netherlands (CBS) reports this based on the provisional weekly figures on mortality.

Since week 39 of 2020, weekly mortality has been higher than expected. During the second epidemic wave up to week 3 of 2021 inclusive, altogether nearly 64 thousand deaths were recorded. This is 9.3 thousand more than expected mortality in this period. The excess mortality is now higher than during the first wave of the coronavirus epidemic.

Weekly mortality, 2020*
   DeathsEstimated mortalityEstimated mortality (95% interval)
20201310432772908 – 3645
20202336633112930 – 3692
20203315733442945 – 3742
20204304633923008 – 3776
20205316334073027 – 3788
20206319434012979 – 3823
20207319934082916 – 3901
20208295933872851 – 3922
20209309833522805 – 3898
202010310633152785 – 3845
202011321932532756 – 3751
202012361531742711 – 3637
202013445931042703 – 3505
202014508530242712 – 3337
202015498129572719 – 3195
202016430729152711 – 3120
202017390728692677 – 3060
202018337928412650 – 3032
202019298628212633 – 3009
202020277727942626 – 2962
202021277127702620 – 2920
202022272927532608 – 2898
202023268227352591 – 2880
202024269227372600 – 2875
202025269527252594 – 2855
202026266127172577 – 2857
202027263927232544 – 2902
202028261927192515 – 2923
202029252827202507 – 2934
202030267327072515 – 2900
202031266826872492 – 2882
202032264026822483 – 2881
202033320926692481 – 2857
202034285526632510 – 2815
202035273326672526 – 2807
202036269026762549 – 2804
202037273926982564 – 2832
202038272027292585 – 2873
202039289227522618 – 2886
202040299827862628 – 2943
202041302028072655 – 2960
202042322028392677 – 3001
202043344928622661 – 3063
202044367928892683 – 3095
202045358929022692 – 3111
202046357529322710 – 3155
202047332929722742 – 3202
202048340130122762 – 3263
202049351930372742 – 3332
202050360631002800 – 3399
202051389631662830 – 3501
202052384932222871 – 3573
202053407632662906 – 3625
20211411533092940 – 3677
20212381033432962 – 3724
20213382433762978 – 3775
2021434253040 – 3809
2021534403060 – 3821
2021634343012 – 3856
2021734412949 – 3934
2021834202884 – 3955
2021933842838 – 3931
20211033472817 – 3877
202111
202112
202113
202114
202115
202116
202117
202118
202119
202120
202121
202122
202123
202124
202125
202126
202127
202128
202129
202130
202131
202132
202133
202134
202135
202136
202137
202138
202139
202140
202141
202142
202143
202144
202145
202146
202147
202148
202149
202150
202151
202152
* Provisional figures. Week 3 in 2021 is an estimate.

Mortality further down among long-term care users

Among people receiving care under the Long-term care Act (Wlz), estimated mortality declined further during week 3 of 2021. Mortality rose slightly among the rest of the population. There were over 1,500 deaths among long-term care users, including residents of nursing homes and institutions for the disabled. Among the rest of the population, approximately 2,300 deaths were recorded.

During the second epidemic wave, so far 25 thousand people have died among the population receiving long-term care (week 39 of 2020 to week 3 of 2021 inclusive). This is 4.8 thousand more than the expected number for this period, an increase of more than 24 percent. Among the rest of the population, so far almost 39 thousand deaths have been recorded during the second wave, exceeding the expected number for this period by more than 13 percent (4.4 thousand).

Weekly mortality, 2020*
   Long-term care (Wlz) users, deathsLong-term care (Wlz) users, estimated mortalityLong-term care (Wlz) users, estimated mortality (95% interval)Other population, deathsOther population, estimated mortalityOther population, estimated mortality (95% interval)
20201121012521052 – 1451189420251780 – 2270
20202126512721076 – 1468210120391793 – 2285
20203113512821086 – 1478202220621805 – 2319
20204112513011113 – 1489192120911842 – 2339
20205109813101118 – 1503206520971853 – 2341
20206114213091099 – 1519205220921826 – 2358
20207115513091069 – 1549204420991796 – 2403
20208112912961044 – 1549183020911762 – 2419
20209119512761005 – 1546190320761756 – 2396
20201011641260989 – 1531194220561752 – 2359
20201112001229950 – 1507201920251741 – 2308
20201213351191928 – 1454228019831714 – 2252
20201316561156912 – 1400280319481715 – 2180
20201422121120915 – 1326287319041709 – 2100
20201524091091910 – 1273257218661709 – 2022
20201620661075912 – 1238224118401691 – 1990
20201717161055898 – 1211219118141663 – 1965
20201814291048900 – 1195195017931643 – 1944
20201911861038897 – 1179180017831631 – 1935
20202010311029902 – 1155174617651615 – 1915
20202110691015892 – 1138170217551615 – 1895
20202210041007887 – 1127172517461602 – 1890
202023909995886 – 1104177317401585 – 1895
202024958997888 – 1106173417401592 – 1889
202025912989879 – 1099178317361585 – 1886
202026940985864 – 1107172117321585 – 1879
202027931992850 – 1134170817311567 – 1896
202028911998849 – 1147170817211552 – 1890
2020299001003855 – 1152162817171555 – 1879
2020309571004854 – 1154171617041553 – 1855
202031946997851 – 1143172216901540 – 1840
202032904993846 – 1140173616901546 – 1834
2020331311987840 – 1134189816821531 – 1832
2020341113980849 – 1111174216831553 – 1813
202035995974860 – 1087173816931550 – 1835
202036942973860 – 1087174817031562 – 1844
202037942977865 – 1089179717211579 – 1862
202038980989876 – 1102174017401594 – 1886
20203910541001892 – 1110183817511606 – 1896
20204010761015897 – 1133192217711632 – 1909
20204110901028908 – 1147193017801638 – 1922
20204212171042910 – 1175200317971663 – 1930
20204313171054912 – 1195213218081650 – 1966
20204415201068920 – 1215215918211662 – 1981
20204513911074925 – 1224219818271664 – 1991
20204614231086936 – 1235215218461678 – 2014
20204712861102953 – 1252204318701684 – 2056
20204812861121964 – 1278211518921702 – 2081
20204912861135970 – 1300223319011683 – 2120
20205014511163996 – 1329215519371721 – 2153
202051160511931019 – 1368229119721739 – 2205
202052172212231035 – 1410212719991763 – 2236
202053172912441050 – 1437234720221781 – 2263
20211164912641065 – 1463246620451799 – 2290
20212158012841089 – 1480223020591813 – 2305
20213152812941098 – 1491229620821825 – 2339
2021413131125 – 150121111863 – 2360
2021513231131 – 151521171874 – 2361
2021613221112 – 153221121846 – 2379
2021713221082 – 156221201816 – 2423
2021813091056 – 156121111783 – 2439
2021912881018 – 155920961776 – 2416
20211012721001 – 154320751772 – 2379
202111
202112
202113
202114
202115
202116
202117
202118
202119
202120
202121
202122
202123
202124
202125
202126
202127
202128
202129
202130
202131
202132
202133
202134
202135
202136
202137
202138
202139
202140
202141
202142
202143
202144
202145
202146
202147
202148
202149
202150
202151
202152
* Provisional figures. Week 3 in 2021 is an estimate.

Declining mortality among men

In week 3 of 2021, mortality declined among men relative to the previous week, against a slight increase among women. The estimated number of deaths was slightly higher among women than among men.

In the first few weeks wave of the coronavirus epidemic and in several consecutive weeks during the second wave, mortality was relatively higher among men, even though the elderly population includes more women than men.

During the second week of the coronavirus epidemic, so far over 32 thousand deaths have been recorded among the male population. This is 5.3 thousand (20 percent) more than expected for this period. Among the female population, slightly under 32 thousand deaths have been recorded, 4.0 thousand (14 percent) more than expected for this period.

Fewer disparities by age

Mortality by age group in week 3 was approximately the same as in the previous week. This included an estimated 2,350 people aged 80 years and over, 1,050 people aged 65 to 79 and over 400 people under the age of 65.

During the second wave in the period week 39 of 2020 to week 3 of 2021 inclusive, so far almost 37 thousand people aged 80 and over have died. This is 19 percent (5.9 thousand deaths) more than expected for this period. In the group 65 to 79 years, excess mortality stood at 18 percent (over 3.0 thousand excess deaths). In the group under 65 years, so far 5 percent (approximately 350) more people have died during the second wave.

Weekly mortality*
   Population 0 to 65 years, deathsPopulation 0 to 64 yrs, estimated mortalityPopulation 0 to 64 yrs, estimated mortality (95% interval)Population 65 to 79 yrs, deathsPopulation 65 to 79 yrs, estimated mortalityPopulation 65 to 79 yrs, estimated mortality (95% interval)Population 80 yrs and over, deathsPopulation 80 yrs and over, estimated mortalityPopulation 80 yrs and over, estimated mortality (95% interval)
20201385415374 – 456896947852 – 1041182319181632 – 2204
20202432413371 – 456968944851 – 1038196619571650 – 2263
20203418415371 – 460913944851 – 1038182619881657 – 2319
20204352417374 – 459936949856 – 1043175820301701 – 2360
20205449417375 – 460924956857 – 1056179020391717 – 2360
20206401417371 – 463981957843 – 1071181220321691 – 2373
20207409420374 – 466938961832 – 1091185220321649 – 2415
20208340420374 – 467870961815 – 1108174920091600 – 2418
20209404420370 – 470911951805 – 1096178319841574 – 2394
202010394417370 – 464889944804 – 1085182319571557 – 2357
202011410415367 – 463949932803 – 1062186019091537 – 2281
202012450410364 – 4561079917796 – 1039208618491503 – 2195
202013502407366 – 4481402907806 – 1008255517911486 – 2097
202014499401357 – 4441503889806 – 972308317351490 – 1981
202015483394355 – 4321436876809 – 942306216881496 – 1880
202016426389350 – 4271233867799 – 935264816601505 – 1815
202017454383341 – 4251154857787 – 926229916301490 – 1769
202018444381342 – 419999847779 – 916193616131472 – 1755
202019390380339 – 420914845777 – 912168215971458 – 1735
202020374378339 – 418835834768 – 901156815811460 – 1703
202021369377335 – 419805832766 – 898159715601459 – 1661
202022369376330 – 422858830764 – 895150215471451 – 1643
202023385378335 – 421836827767 – 887146115291425 – 1634
202024407383340 – 425836829770 – 888144915251431 – 1619
202025375382341 – 423856827765 – 889146415141427 – 1601
202026382384342 – 426828825763 – 887145115071407 – 1606
202027403385342 – 428809829764 – 894142715071375 – 1639
202028389386347 – 424813830760 – 899141715011352 – 1650
202029372389351 – 426775830762 – 899138114991337 – 1661
202030408387349 – 425821828759 – 896144414911343 – 1639
202031376383347 – 419842824752 – 896145014781334 – 1622
202032419384345 – 423820829755 – 904140114671318 – 1615
202033463382345 – 418928826749 – 904181814591325 – 1592
202034416382342 – 422862829756 – 901157714501346 – 1554
202035352384338 – 429864831761 – 900151714501354 – 1546
202036414385339 – 431828833766 – 900144814561373 – 1538
202037394390343 – 437895839773 – 905145014661383 – 1548
202038394397350 – 445844850777 – 923148214791390 – 1568
202039394396346 – 447880855785 – 924161814981416 – 1580
202040434400348 – 453914865789 – 941165015181416 – 1620
202041378400354 – 447990868785 – 950165215371436 – 1638
202042432405360 – 449985872788 – 956180315601446 – 1674
202043426406362 – 4501079878787 – 969194415761438 – 1713
202044407403360 – 4471165888798 – 979210715951443 – 1748
202045434403362 – 4431110890807 – 973204516071441 – 1774
202046433408369 – 4461059898814 – 982208316251449 – 1801
202047413411376 – 4471083913829 – 996183316471468 – 1826
202048432414377 – 4501082925845 – 1005188716731482 – 1863
202049443411373 – 4501106933843 – 1022197016921481 – 1903
202050460413374 – 4511102938853 – 1023204417491525 – 1973
202051472416378 – 4541180941848 – 1034224418091563 – 2056
202052429415375 – 4551139944849 – 1039228118651598 – 2132
202053458413372 – 4541269958863 – 1052234918981621 – 2174
20211421411369 – 4521169971877 – 1065252519301644 – 2215
20212403409367 – 4511094969875 – 1062231319691662 – 2275
20213423411366 – 4551065969875 – 1062233620001670 – 2331
20214412370 – 455974880 – 106720421713 – 2372
20215413370 – 455981881 – 108020511730 – 2372
20216
20217
20218
20219
202110
202111
202112
202113
202114
202115
202116
202117
202118
202119
202120
202121
202122
202123
202124
202125
202126
202127
202128
202129
202130
202131
202132
202133
202134
202135
202136
202137
202138
202139
202140
202141
202142
202143
202144
202145
202146
202147
202148
202149
202150
202151
202152
* Provisional figures. Week 3 in 2021 is an estimate.

COVID-19 mortality known up to June inclusive

The figures on (excess) mortality are based on the number of reported deaths received every day by CBS. These reports do not contain any information about the cause of death. CBS receives such information at a lager stage via death cause certificates. The cause of death is known for all deceased up to and including June 2020. According to these figures, slightly over 10,000 people died of COVID-19 between March and June 2020, as published by CBS on 1 October. Excess mortality over this period is therefore entirely attributable to mortality from the novel coronavirus.

Data sources for RIVM

The National Institute for Public Health and the Environment (RIVM) receives data on confirmed COVID-19 deaths from municipal health services (GGD) around the country on a daily basis. Due to the following reasons, the actual COVID-19 death count is likely higher: possibly not all people with COVID-19 have themselves tested, there is no reporting obligation for COVID-19, and registration sometimes takes a little longer.

Up to and including June 2020, RIVM registered 6,182 COVID-19 deaths. In week 39 of 2020 through week 3 of 2021, RIVM registered 7,271 COVID-19 deaths. This includes 391 deaths reported in week 3 (as at 26 January 2021). There were fewer than 200 confirmed COVID-19 deaths in the intervening period.

Estimate for week 3

The figures for week 3 are estimates, based on 83 percent of the overall number of death records received by CBS. On Friday 5 February, CBS will publish provisional weekly mortality figures for week 3. The figures will be more complete by then.