Mortality in week 46 still higher than expected
Deaths | Estimated mortality | Estimated mortality (95% interval) | |
---|---|---|---|
1 | 3103 | 3277 | 2908 – 3645 |
2 | 3365 | 3311 | 2930 – 3692 |
3 | 3157 | 3344 | 2945 – 3742 |
4 | 3046 | 3392 | 3008 – 3776 |
5 | 3162 | 3407 | 3027 – 3788 |
6 | 3194 | 3401 | 2979 – 3823 |
7 | 3199 | 3408 | 2916 – 3901 |
8 | 2959 | 3387 | 2851 – 3922 |
9 | 3098 | 3352 | 2805 – 3898 |
10 | 3105 | 3315 | 2785 – 3845 |
11 | 3219 | 3253 | 2756 – 3751 |
12 | 3615 | 3174 | 2711 – 3637 |
13 | 4459 | 3104 | 2703 – 3505 |
14 | 5084 | 3024 | 2712 – 3337 |
15 | 4979 | 2957 | 2719 – 3195 |
16 | 4304 | 2915 | 2711 – 3120 |
17 | 3907 | 2869 | 2677 – 3060 |
18 | 3378 | 2841 | 2650 – 3032 |
19 | 2986 | 2821 | 2633 – 3009 |
20 | 2775 | 2794 | 2626 – 2962 |
21 | 2771 | 2770 | 2620 – 2920 |
22 | 2726 | 2753 | 2608 – 2898 |
23 | 2682 | 2735 | 2591 – 2880 |
24 | 2691 | 2737 | 2600 – 2875 |
25 | 2694 | 2725 | 2594 – 2855 |
26 | 2660 | 2717 | 2577 – 2857 |
27 | 2637 | 2723 | 2544 – 2902 |
28 | 2619 | 2719 | 2515 – 2923 |
29 | 2527 | 2720 | 2507 – 2934 |
30 | 2672 | 2707 | 2515 – 2900 |
31 | 2663 | 2687 | 2492 – 2882 |
32 | 2638 | 2682 | 2483 – 2881 |
33 | 3209 | 2669 | 2481 – 2857 |
34 | 2849 | 2663 | 2510 – 2815 |
35 | 2732 | 2667 | 2526 – 2807 |
36 | 2687 | 2676 | 2549 – 2804 |
37 | 2737 | 2698 | 2564 – 2832 |
38 | 2716 | 2729 | 2585 – 2873 |
39 | 2888 | 2752 | 2618 – 2886 |
40 | 2995 | 2786 | 2628 – 2943 |
41 | 3015 | 2807 | 2655 – 2960 |
42 | 3210 | 2839 | 2677 – 3001 |
43 | 3435 | 2862 | 2661 – 3063 |
44 | 3663 | 2889 | 2683 – 3095 |
45 | 3563 | 2902 | 2692 – 3111 |
46 | 3604 | 2932 | 2710 – 3155 |
47 | 2972 | 2742 – 3202 | |
48 | 3012 | 2762 – 3263 | |
49 | 3037 | 2742 – 3332 | |
50 | 3100 | 2800 – 3399 | |
51 | 3166 | 2830 – 3501 | |
52 | 3222 | 2871 – 3573 | |
* Provisional figures. Week 46 is an estimate. |
Mortality among long-term care users and the rest of the population
Based on the estimate for week 46, the number of deaths among people receiving care under the Long-term Care Act (Wlz), such as residents of nursing homes, and the rest of the population appears to be more or less the same as in the previous week. In week 46, there were over 1,400 deaths among long-term care users and over 2,150 deaths among the rest of the population.
In both groups there were around 300 more deaths than expected. In relative terms, however, this excess mortality is higher among long-term care users (31 percent) than among the rest of the population (18 percent).
Long-term care (Wlz) users, deaths | Long-term care (Wlz) users, estimated mortality | Long-term care (Wlz) users, estimated mortality (95% interval) | Other population, deaths | Other population, estimated mortality | Other population, estimated mortality (95% interval) | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1210 | 1252 | 1052 – 1451 | 1893 | 2025 | 1780 – 2270 |
2 | 1265 | 1272 | 1076 – 1468 | 2100 | 2039 | 1793 – 2285 |
3 | 1135 | 1282 | 1086 – 1478 | 2022 | 2062 | 1805 – 2319 |
4 | 1125 | 1301 | 1113 – 1489 | 1921 | 2091 | 1842 – 2339 |
5 | 1098 | 1310 | 1118 – 1503 | 2064 | 2097 | 1853 – 2341 |
6 | 1142 | 1309 | 1099 – 1519 | 2052 | 2092 | 1826 – 2358 |
7 | 1155 | 1309 | 1069 – 1549 | 2044 | 2099 | 1796 – 2403 |
8 | 1129 | 1296 | 1044 – 1549 | 1830 | 2091 | 1762 – 2419 |
9 | 1195 | 1276 | 1005 – 1546 | 1903 | 2076 | 1756 – 2396 |
10 | 1164 | 1260 | 989 – 1531 | 1941 | 2056 | 1752 – 2359 |
11 | 1200 | 1229 | 950 – 1507 | 2019 | 2025 | 1741 – 2308 |
12 | 1335 | 1191 | 928 – 1454 | 2280 | 1983 | 1714 – 2252 |
13 | 1656 | 1156 | 912 – 1400 | 2803 | 1948 | 1715 – 2180 |
14 | 2212 | 1120 | 915 – 1326 | 2872 | 1904 | 1709 – 2100 |
15 | 2409 | 1091 | 910 – 1273 | 2570 | 1866 | 1709 – 2022 |
16 | 2066 | 1075 | 912 – 1238 | 2238 | 1840 | 1691 – 1990 |
17 | 1716 | 1055 | 898 – 1211 | 2191 | 1814 | 1663 – 1965 |
18 | 1429 | 1048 | 900 – 1195 | 1949 | 1793 | 1643 – 1944 |
19 | 1186 | 1038 | 897 – 1179 | 1800 | 1783 | 1631 – 1935 |
20 | 1031 | 1029 | 902 – 1155 | 1744 | 1765 | 1615 – 1915 |
21 | 1069 | 1015 | 892 – 1138 | 1702 | 1755 | 1615 – 1895 |
22 | 1004 | 1007 | 887 – 1127 | 1722 | 1746 | 1602 – 1890 |
23 | 909 | 995 | 886 – 1104 | 1773 | 1740 | 1585 – 1895 |
24 | 958 | 997 | 888 – 1106 | 1733 | 1740 | 1592 – 1889 |
25 | 912 | 989 | 879 – 1099 | 1782 | 1736 | 1585 – 1886 |
26 | 940 | 985 | 864 – 1107 | 1720 | 1732 | 1585 – 1879 |
27 | 931 | 992 | 850 – 1134 | 1706 | 1731 | 1567 – 1896 |
28 | 911 | 998 | 849 – 1147 | 1708 | 1721 | 1552 – 1890 |
29 | 900 | 1003 | 855 – 1152 | 1627 | 1717 | 1555 – 1879 |
30 | 957 | 1004 | 854 – 1154 | 1715 | 1704 | 1553 – 1855 |
31 | 946 | 997 | 851 – 1143 | 1717 | 1690 | 1540 – 1840 |
32 | 904 | 993 | 846 – 1140 | 1734 | 1690 | 1546 – 1834 |
33 | 1311 | 987 | 840 – 1134 | 1898 | 1682 | 1531 – 1832 |
34 | 1113 | 980 | 849 – 1111 | 1736 | 1683 | 1553 – 1813 |
35 | 995 | 974 | 860 – 1087 | 1737 | 1693 | 1550 – 1835 |
36 | 942 | 973 | 860 – 1087 | 1745 | 1703 | 1562 – 1844 |
37 | 942 | 977 | 865 – 1089 | 1795 | 1721 | 1579 – 1862 |
38 | 980 | 989 | 876 – 1102 | 1736 | 1740 | 1594 – 1886 |
39 | 1054 | 1001 | 892 – 1110 | 1834 | 1751 | 1606 – 1896 |
40 | 1076 | 1015 | 897 – 1133 | 1919 | 1771 | 1632 – 1909 |
41 | 1090 | 1028 | 908 – 1147 | 1925 | 1780 | 1638 – 1922 |
42 | 1216 | 1042 | 910 – 1175 | 1994 | 1797 | 1663 – 1930 |
43 | 1316 | 1054 | 912 – 1195 | 2119 | 1808 | 1650 – 1966 |
44 | 1517 | 1068 | 920 – 1215 | 2146 | 1821 | 1662 – 1981 |
45 | 1387 | 1074 | 925 – 1224 | 2176 | 1827 | 1664 – 1991 |
46 | 1428 | 1086 | 936 – 1235 | 2176 | 1846 | 1678 – 2014 |
47 | 1102 | 953 – 1252 | 1870 | 1684 – 2056 | ||
48 | 1121 | 964 – 1278 | 1892 | 1702 – 2081 | ||
49 | 1135 | 970 – 1300 | 1901 | 1683 – 2120 | ||
50 | 1163 | 996 – 1329 | 1937 | 1721 – 2153 | ||
51 | 1193 | 1019 – 1368 | 1972 | 1739 – 2205 | ||
52 | 1223 | 1035 – 1410 | 1999 | 1763 – 2236 | ||
* Provisional figures. Week 46 is an estimate. |
More men
Compared to the previous week, mortality did not rise any further among men in week 46 while it increased slightly among women. However, once again there were more male than female deaths. More men than women have died in recent weeks, although there are more older women than older men. This was also the case during the first wave of the coronavirus epidemic. In this period (weeks 11 up to and including 19), excess mortality stood at 38 percent among men, versus 29 percent among women.
Week | Men | Women |
---|---|---|
1 | 1503 | 1600 |
2 | 1677 | 1688 |
3 | 1530 | 1627 |
4 | 1470 | 1576 |
5 | 1576 | 1586 |
6 | 1592 | 1602 |
7 | 1507 | 1692 |
8 | 1485 | 1474 |
9 | 1504 | 1594 |
10 | 1517 | 1588 |
11 | 1597 | 1622 |
12 | 1873 | 1742 |
13 | 2366 | 2093 |
14 | 2666 | 2418 |
15 | 2527 | 2452 |
16 | 2123 | 2181 |
17 | 1932 | 1975 |
18 | 1673 | 1705 |
19 | 1462 | 1524 |
20 | 1418 | 1357 |
21 | 1389 | 1382 |
22 | 1326 | 1400 |
23 | 1373 | 1309 |
24 | 1314 | 1377 |
25 | 1343 | 1351 |
26 | 1317 | 1343 |
27 | 1281 | 1356 |
28 | 1217 | 1402 |
29 | 1234 | 1293 |
30 | 1320 | 1352 |
31 | 1296 | 1367 |
32 | 1319 | 1319 |
33 | 1541 | 1668 |
34 | 1417 | 1432 |
35 | 1346 | 1386 |
36 | 1329 | 1358 |
37 | 1347 | 1390 |
38 | 1371 | 1345 |
39 | 1435 | 1453 |
40 | 1500 | 1495 |
41 | 1567 | 1448 |
42 | 1607 | 1603 |
43 | 1801 | 1634 |
44 | 1849 | 1814 |
45 | 1839 | 1724 |
46 | 1829 | 1775 |
* Provisional figures. Week 46 is an estimate. |
Mainly seniors
As of week 39, the number of deaths among the elderly in particular is higher than the average expected for this period. The number of elderly deaths in week 46 remained more or less the same as in the previous week. The estimates for week 46 include nearly 2,100 people aged 80 years and over, and nearly 1,100 people aged 65 to 79 years.
Population 0 to 65 yrs, deaths | Population 0 to 65 yrs, estimated mortality | Population 0 to 65 yrs, estimated mortality (95% interval) | Population 65 to 80 yrs, deaths | Population 65 to 80 yrs, estimated mortality | Population 65 to 80 yrs, estimated mortality (95% interval) | Population 80 yrs and over, deaths | Population 80 yrs and over, estimated mortality | Population 80 yrs and over, estimated mortality (95% interval) | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 385 | 415 | 374 – 456 | 896 | 947 | 852 – 1041 | 1822 | 1918 | 1632 – 2204 |
2 | 432 | 413 | 371 – 456 | 967 | 944 | 851 – 1038 | 1966 | 1957 | 1650 – 2263 |
3 | 418 | 415 | 371 – 460 | 913 | 944 | 851 – 1038 | 1826 | 1988 | 1657 – 2319 |
4 | 352 | 417 | 374 – 459 | 936 | 949 | 856 – 1043 | 1758 | 2030 | 1701 – 2360 |
5 | 449 | 417 | 375 – 460 | 924 | 956 | 857 – 1056 | 1789 | 2039 | 1717 – 2360 |
6 | 401 | 417 | 371 – 463 | 981 | 957 | 843 – 1071 | 1812 | 2032 | 1691 – 2373 |
7 | 409 | 420 | 374 – 466 | 938 | 961 | 832 – 1091 | 1852 | 2032 | 1649 – 2415 |
8 | 340 | 420 | 374 – 467 | 870 | 961 | 815 – 1108 | 1749 | 2009 | 1600 – 2418 |
9 | 404 | 420 | 370 – 470 | 911 | 951 | 805 – 1096 | 1783 | 1984 | 1574 – 2394 |
10 | 393 | 417 | 370 – 464 | 889 | 944 | 804 – 1085 | 1823 | 1957 | 1557 – 2357 |
11 | 410 | 415 | 367 – 463 | 949 | 932 | 803 – 1062 | 1860 | 1909 | 1537 – 2281 |
12 | 450 | 410 | 364 – 456 | 1079 | 917 | 796 – 1039 | 2086 | 1849 | 1503 – 2195 |
13 | 502 | 407 | 366 – 448 | 1402 | 907 | 806 – 1008 | 2555 | 1791 | 1486 – 2097 |
14 | 498 | 401 | 357 – 444 | 1503 | 889 | 806 – 972 | 3083 | 1735 | 1490 – 1981 |
15 | 483 | 394 | 355 – 432 | 1435 | 876 | 809 – 942 | 3061 | 1688 | 1496 – 1880 |
16 | 426 | 389 | 350 – 427 | 1232 | 867 | 799 – 935 | 2646 | 1660 | 1505 – 1815 |
17 | 454 | 383 | 341 – 425 | 1154 | 857 | 787 – 926 | 2299 | 1630 | 1490 – 1769 |
18 | 443 | 381 | 342 – 419 | 999 | 847 | 779 – 916 | 1936 | 1613 | 1472 – 1755 |
19 | 390 | 380 | 339 – 420 | 914 | 845 | 777 – 912 | 1682 | 1597 | 1458 – 1735 |
20 | 374 | 378 | 339 – 418 | 833 | 834 | 768 – 901 | 1568 | 1581 | 1460 – 1703 |
21 | 369 | 377 | 335 – 419 | 805 | 832 | 766 – 898 | 1597 | 1560 | 1459 – 1661 |
22 | 366 | 376 | 330 – 422 | 858 | 830 | 764 – 895 | 1502 | 1547 | 1451 – 1643 |
23 | 385 | 378 | 335 – 421 | 836 | 827 | 767 – 887 | 1461 | 1529 | 1425 – 1634 |
24 | 407 | 383 | 340 – 425 | 835 | 829 | 770 – 888 | 1449 | 1525 | 1431 – 1619 |
25 | 375 | 382 | 341 – 423 | 856 | 827 | 765 – 889 | 1463 | 1514 | 1427 – 1601 |
26 | 382 | 384 | 342 – 426 | 828 | 825 | 763 – 887 | 1450 | 1507 | 1407 – 1606 |
27 | 403 | 385 | 342 – 428 | 807 | 829 | 764 – 894 | 1427 | 1507 | 1375 – 1639 |
28 | 389 | 386 | 347 – 424 | 813 | 830 | 760 – 899 | 1417 | 1501 | 1352 – 1650 |
29 | 372 | 389 | 351 – 426 | 774 | 830 | 762 – 899 | 1381 | 1499 | 1337 – 1661 |
30 | 408 | 387 | 349 – 425 | 821 | 828 | 759 – 896 | 1443 | 1491 | 1343 – 1639 |
31 | 374 | 383 | 347 – 419 | 842 | 824 | 752 – 896 | 1447 | 1478 | 1334 – 1622 |
32 | 418 | 384 | 345 – 423 | 820 | 829 | 755 – 904 | 1400 | 1467 | 1318 – 1615 |
33 | 463 | 382 | 345 – 418 | 928 | 826 | 749 – 904 | 1818 | 1459 | 1325 – 1592 |
34 | 416 | 382 | 342 – 422 | 860 | 829 | 756 – 901 | 1573 | 1450 | 1346 – 1554 |
35 | 352 | 384 | 338 – 429 | 863 | 831 | 761 – 900 | 1517 | 1450 | 1354 – 1546 |
36 | 414 | 385 | 339 – 431 | 828 | 833 | 766 – 900 | 1445 | 1456 | 1373 – 1538 |
37 | 393 | 390 | 343 – 437 | 895 | 839 | 773 – 905 | 1449 | 1466 | 1383 – 1548 |
38 | 393 | 397 | 350 – 445 | 843 | 850 | 777 – 923 | 1480 | 1479 | 1390 – 1568 |
39 | 392 | 396 | 346 – 447 | 878 | 855 | 785 – 924 | 1618 | 1498 | 1416 – 1580 |
40 | 434 | 400 | 348 – 453 | 911 | 865 | 789 – 941 | 1650 | 1518 | 1416 – 1620 |
41 | 376 | 400 | 354 – 447 | 988 | 868 | 785 – 950 | 1651 | 1537 | 1436 – 1638 |
42 | 429 | 405 | 360 – 449 | 981 | 872 | 788 – 956 | 1800 | 1560 | 1446 – 1674 |
43 | 421 | 406 | 362 – 450 | 1075 | 878 | 787 – 969 | 1939 | 1576 | 1438 – 1713 |
44 | 405 | 403 | 360 – 447 | 1156 | 888 | 798 – 979 | 2102 | 1595 | 1443 – 1748 |
45 | 424 | 403 | 362 – 443 | 1099 | 890 | 807 – 973 | 2040 | 1607 | 1441 – 1774 |
46 | 427 | 408 | 369 – 446 | 1082 | 898 | 814 – 982 | 2095 | 1625 | 1449 – 1801 |
47 | 411 | 376 – 447 | 913 | 829 – 996 | 1647 | 1468 – 1826 | |||
48 | 414 | 377 – 450 | 925 | 845 – 1005 | 1673 | 1482 – 1863 | |||
49 | 411 | 373 – 450 | 933 | 843 – 1022 | 1692 | 1481 – 1903 | |||
50 | 413 | 374 – 451 | 938 | 853 – 1023 | 1749 | 1525 – 1973 | |||
51 | 416 | 378 – 454 | 941 | 848 – 1034 | 1809 | 1563 – 2056 | |||
52 | 415 | 375 – 455 | 944 | 849 – 1039 | 1865 | 1598 – 2132 | |||
* Provisional figures. Week 46 is an estimate. |
Mortality as of week 39 higher than expected
As of week 39, weekly mortality is higher than expected. With the exception of elevated mortality in weeks 33 and 34 during the heat wave, the average weekly death count fell slightly below the expected levels as of week 19 had there not been a coronavirus epidemic. Prior to this, mortality was elevated for nine weeks on account of the COVID-19 epidemic. During the first wave of the epidemic, 10 thousand people died for whom COVID-19 was the confirmed or suspected cause of death.
For week 46 and as at 17 November, the municipal health services (GGD) reported 327 confirmed COVID-19 deaths to the National Institute for Public Health and the Environment (RIVM), and 465 confirmed cases for week 45. The actual COVID-19-related death count in the Netherlands is likely to turn out higher because of the following reasons: possibly not all people with COVID-19 have themselves tested, there is no obligation for COVID-19 deaths to be reported and registration sometimes takes a little longer.
Estimate
The figures for week 46 are estimates, based on 83 percent of the overall number of death records to be received by CBS. CBS will publish provisional weekly mortality figures for week 46 on Friday 27 November. The figures will be more complete by then.
Sources
- StatLine - Deaths registered weekly, by sex and age
Related items
- Dossier coronavirus - Deaths registered weekly, by sex and age
- News release - Mortality not rising further in week 45
- RIVM - Current information about COVID-19 (novel coronavirus)