Producer confidence hardly changed
The long-term average over the past two decades is 1.0. Producer confidence reached an all-time high (10.9) in February 2018 and an all-time low (-23.5) in February 2009. Optimism has prevailed among Dutch manufacturers since October 2014.
| jaar | maand | balance (average of the component questions) |
|---|---|---|
| 2016 | January | 3.2 |
| 2016 | February | 3.1 |
| 2016 | March | 3.9 |
| 2016 | April | 4.7 |
| 2016 | May | 4.4 |
| 2016 | June | 5.4 |
| 2016 | July | 5.1 |
| 2016 | August | 1.2 |
| 2016 | September | 3.4 |
| 2016 | October | 4.3 |
| 2016 | November | 3.4 |
| 2016 | December | 4.7 |
| 2017 | January | 6 |
| 2017 | February | 7 |
| 2017 | March | 7.8 |
| 2017 | April | 8.3 |
| 2017 | May | 6.1 |
| 2017 | June | 7.2 |
| 2017 | July | 6.6 |
| 2017 | August | 5.4 |
| 2017 | September | 8.5 |
| 2017 | October | 8.2 |
| 2017 | November | 9.1 |
| 2017 | December | 8.9 |
| 2018 | January | 10.3 |
| 2018 | February | 10.9 |
| 2018 | March | 9.5 |
| 2018 | April | 8.2 |
| 2018 | May | 9.8 |
| 2018 | June | 7.7 |
| 2018 | July | 6.3 |
| 2018 | August | 5.9 |
| 2018 | September | 5.7 |
| 2018 | October | 5.9 |
| 2018 | November | 7.2 |
| 2018 | December | 7.5 |
| 2019 | January | 5.8 |
| 2019 | February | 6.3 |
| 2019 | March | 6.1 |
| 2019 | April | 6.7 |
| 2019 | May | 4.7 |
| 2019 | Juni | 3.3 |
| 2019 | Juli | 3.9 |
| 2019 | August | 3.9 |
| 2019 | September | 3.3 |
| 2019 | October | 3.6 |
| 2019 | November | 2.8 |
| 2019 | December | 2.9 |
Less positive about output, more positive about orders and stocks
In December, Dutch manufacturers are less positive about their future output. However they are more positive about their order position and their stocks of finished products.
Two component indicators of producer confidence are positive. Manufacturers who anticipate output growth over the next three months outnumber those expecting output decline. More manufacturers consider their order position to be strong rather than weak, given the time of year.
However, manufacturers’ opinions on their stocks are negative. There are more manufacturers who define their current stocks of finished products as too large rather than too small.
Producers in timber and building materials industry most positive
Just as in the previous three months, producers in the timber and building materials industry have the most optimistic outlook. Although pessimism prevails in the transport equipment industry, confidence did improve. Producer confidence in the petroleum and chemical industry saw the strongest decline.
| December 2019 (average of the component questions) | November 2019 (average of the component questions) | |
|---|---|---|
| Timber and building materials | 14.2 | 14.4 |
| Paper and printing | 8 | 9.9 |
| Textiles, clothes, leather | 7.5 | 11.6 |
| Food, beverages, tobacco | 5.4 | 4.5 |
| Metal | 2 | 1.2 |
| Electrotechnical products and machinery | 1.2 | 5.4 |
| Petroleum | 0.6 | 2.4 |
| Transport equipment | -3 | -6.2 |
Manufacturing output 0.4 percent up in October
The average daily output generated by the Dutch manufacturing industry was 0.4 percent up in October 2019 compared to the same month last year. The year-on-year increase was somewhat smaller than in the previous month.
Confidence among German manufacturers less negative
Germany is an important foreign market for the Dutch manufacturing industry. According to the IFO index in manufacturing the business climate index has improved in December. German manufacturers were less negative about their future output. In October, the average daily output generated by the German manufacturing industry was over 6 percent lower than in the same month last year. This is reported by Destatis.
Sources
Related items
- Dossier - Business Cycle