Producer confidence improves
The long-term average over the past two decades is 1.0. Producer confidence reached an all-time high (10.9) in February 2018 and an all-time low (-23.5) in February 2009. Optimism has prevailed among Dutch manufacturers since October 2014.
jaar | maand | balance (average of the component questions) |
---|---|---|
2015 | May | 4.1 |
2015 | June | 4.6 |
2015 | July | 3.7 |
2015 | August | 3.5 |
2015 | September | 3.8 |
2015 | October | 2.4 |
2015 | November | 4 |
2015 | December | 3 |
2016 | January | 3.2 |
2016 | February | 3.1 |
2016 | March | 3.9 |
2016 | April | 4.7 |
2016 | May | 4.4 |
2016 | June | 5.4 |
2016 | July | 5.1 |
2016 | August | 1.2 |
2016 | September | 3.4 |
2016 | October | 4.3 |
2016 | November | 3.4 |
2016 | December | 4.7 |
2017 | January | 6 |
2017 | February | 7 |
2017 | March | 7.8 |
2017 | April | 8.3 |
2017 | May | 6.1 |
2017 | June | 7.2 |
2017 | July | 6.6 |
2017 | August | 5.4 |
2017 | September | 8.5 |
2017 | October | 8.2 |
2017 | November | 9.1 |
2017 | December | 8.9 |
2018 | January | 10.3 |
2018 | February | 10.9 |
2018 | March | 9.5 |
2018 | April | 8.2 |
2018 | May | 9.8 |
2018 | June | 7.7 |
2018 | July | 6.3 |
2018 | August | 5.9 |
2018 | September | 5.7 |
2018 | October | 5.9 |
2018 | November | 7.2 |
2018 | December | 7.5 |
2019 | January | 5.8 |
2019 | February | 6.3 |
2019 | March | 6.1 |
2019 | April | 6.7 |
More positive about future output and stocks
In April, Dutch manufacturers are more positive about their future output and their stocks of finished products than in the previous month. On the other hand, they are less optimistic about their order positions.
All three component indicators of producer confidence are positive. Manufacturers who anticipate output growth over the next three months outnumber those expecting output decline. More manufacturers consider their order position to be strong rather than weak, given the time of year. Furthermore, there are more manufacturers who define their current stocks of finished products as too small rather than too large.
Producers in the textile, clothing and leather industry most positive
In April, producers in the textile, clothing and leather industry are the most positive. However, pessimists again predominated in the transport equipment industry.
April 2019 (average of the component questions) | March 2019 (average of the component questions) | |
---|---|---|
Textiles, clothes, leather | 16.4 | 16.9 |
Electrotechnical products and machinery | 11.4 | 10.6 |
Wood and construction | 10.7 | 11.6 |
Metal | 9.1 | 11.1 |
Petroleum | 5.5 | 2.1 |
Paper and printing | 5.3 | 7.8 |
Food, beverages, tobacco | 4.0 | 6.2 |
Transport equipment | -3.9 | -7.6 |
Industrial capacity utilisation rate higher
At the beginning of Q2 2019, the industrial capacity utilisation rate stood at 84.3 percent. This is higher than in the previous quarter.
Capacity utilisation rate (%) | ||
---|---|---|
2015 | Quarter 3 | 82.3 |
2015 | Quarter 4 | 82.3 |
2016 | Quarter 1 | 81.2 |
2016 | Quarter 2 | 81.5 |
2016 | Quarter 3 | 81.7 |
2016 | Quarter 4 | 82.2 |
2017 | Quarter 1 | 81.3 |
2017 | Quarter 2 | 82.8 |
2017 | Quarter 3 | 83.4 |
2017 | Quarter 4 | 83.3 |
2018 | Quarter 1 | 83.5 |
2018 | Quarter 2 | 83.6 |
2018 | Quarter 3 | 84.5 |
2018 | Quarter 4 | 84.1 |
2019 | Quarter 1 | 83.9 |
2019 | Quarter 2 | 84.3 |
Manufacturing output 0.5 percent up
The average daily output generated by the Dutch manufacturing industry was 0.5 percent up in February 2019 relative to the same month last year. The previous two months saw a decline in output. In February, output in the transport equipment industry showed the strongest year-on-year growth.
German manufacturers again less positive
Germany is an important foreign market for the Dutch manufacturing industry. According to the IFO index, in manufacturing the business climate index fell once again this month, to the lowest level in more than six years. This was due to both more pessimistic business expectations and less optimistic opinions on the current situation. In February, the average daily output generated by the German manufacturing industry was nearly 2 percent lower than in the same month last year.
Sources
Related items
- Dossier - Business Cycle