Producer confidence hardly changed
The long-term average over the past two decades is 1.0. Producer confidence reached an all-time high (10.9) in February 2018 and an all-time low (-23.5) in February 2009. Optimism has prevailed among Dutch manufacturers since October 2014.
jaar | maand | balance (average of the component questions) |
---|---|---|
2015 | April | 3.3 |
2015 | May | 4.1 |
2015 | June | 4.6 |
2015 | July | 3.7 |
2015 | August | 3.5 |
2015 | September | 3.8 |
2015 | October | 2.4 |
2015 | November | 4 |
2015 | December | 3 |
2016 | January | 3.2 |
2016 | February | 3.1 |
2016 | March | 3.9 |
2016 | April | 4.7 |
2016 | May | 4.4 |
2016 | June | 5.4 |
2016 | July | 5.1 |
2016 | August | 1.2 |
2016 | September | 3.4 |
2016 | October | 4.3 |
2016 | November | 3.4 |
2016 | December | 4.7 |
2017 | January | 6 |
2017 | February | 7 |
2017 | March | 7.8 |
2017 | April | 8.3 |
2017 | May | 6.1 |
2017 | June | 7.2 |
2017 | July | 6.6 |
2017 | August | 5.4 |
2017 | September | 8.5 |
2017 | October | 8.2 |
2017 | November | 9.1 |
2017 | December | 8.9 |
2018 | January | 10.3 |
2018 | February | 10.9 |
2018 | March | 9.5 |
2018 | April | 8.2 |
2018 | May | 9.8 |
2018 | June | 7.7 |
2018 | July | 6.3 |
2018 | August | 5.9 |
2018 | September | 5.7 |
2018 | October | 5.9 |
2018 | November | 7.2 |
2018 | December | 7.5 |
2019 | January | 5.8 |
2019 | February | 6.3 |
2019 | March | 6.1 |
Less positive about future output and stocks
In March, Dutch manufacturers are less positive about their future output and their stocks of finished products than in the previous month. On the other hand, they are more optimistic about their order positions.
All three component indicators of producer confidence are positive. Manufacturers who anticipate output growth over the next three months outnumber those expecting output decline. More manufacturers consider their order position to be strong rather than weak, given the time of year. Furthermore, there are more manufacturers who define their current stocks of finished products as too small rather than too large.
Producers in the clothes, textiles and leather industry most positive
In March, producers in the textiles, clothes and leather industry are the most positive. Producer confidence in the transport equipment industry has dropped to the lowest level since mid-2013.
March 2019 (average of the component questions) | February 2019 (average of the component questions) | |
---|---|---|
Textiles, clothes, leather | 16.9 | 5.2 |
Wood and construction | 11.6 | 17.1 |
Metal | 11.1 | 4.9 |
Electrotechnical products and machinery | 10.6 | 9 |
Paper and printing | 7.8 | 6.3 |
Food, beverages, tobacco | 6.2 | 8.1 |
Petroleum | 2.1 | 1.3 |
Transport equipment | -7.6 | 0.9 |
Manufacturing output hardly changed in January
The average daily output generated by the Dutch manufacturing industry was 0.1 percent up in January on the same month last year. In December, manufacturing output was still down year-on-year.
German manufacturers again less positive
Germany is an important foreign market for the Dutch manufacturing industry. According to the IFO index, in manufacturing the business climate index fell once again this month, to the lowest level since March 2016. This was due to both more pessimistic business expectations and less optimistic opinions on the current situation. In January, the average daily output generated by the German manufacturing industry was nearly 4 percent lower than in the same month last year.
Sources
Related items
- Dossier - Business Cycle