Key figures of the population forecasts 2023-2070

Key figures of the population forecasts 2023-2070

Forecast(-interval) Periods Total population (number) Live births (number) Deaths (number) External migration Immigration (number) External migration Emigration (incl. net adm. corr.) (number) External migration Net migration (incl. net adm. corr.) (number)
Forecast 2024 17,951,318 165,276 169,522 323,309 201,224 122,085
Forecast 2030 18,474,560 182,826 176,136 308,688 241,718 66,970
Forecast 2040 19,186,084 197,832 198,463 309,565 248,877 60,688
Forecast 2050 19,683,506 190,917 208,930 310,012 252,514 57,498
Forecast 2060 20,055,186 194,550 207,979 310,499 255,182 55,317
Forecast 2070 20,614,380 209,457 192,570 311,608 257,671 53,937
Lower limit 67% forecast-interval 2024 17,928,836 159,546 160,380 295,164 188,516 93,195
Lower limit 67% forecast-interval 2030 18,256,200 169,816 161,406 263,102 218,216 25,568
Lower limit 67% forecast-interval 2040 18,601,380 175,887 177,104 251,544 217,518 15,408
Lower limit 67% forecast-interval 2050 18,700,708 162,681 188,634 249,844 218,365 11,086
Lower limit 67% forecast-interval 2060 18,715,668 158,831 188,673 244,568 217,971 4,714
Lower limit 67% forecast-interval 2070 18,895,360 165,353 172,939 246,586 216,435 7,317
Upper limit 67% forecast-interval 2024 17,974,202 171,550 178,910 351,898 214,710 151,497
Upper limit 67% forecast-interval 2030 18,691,740 196,454 193,225 359,420 269,090 108,615
Upper limit 67% forecast-interval 2040 19,773,032 219,886 218,771 368,830 282,458 105,323
Upper limit 67% forecast-interval 2050 20,624,844 219,421 231,127 380,945 293,864 106,152
Upper limit 67% forecast-interval 2060 21,328,288 227,999 229,838 379,681 298,715 102,593
Upper limit 67% forecast-interval 2070 22,265,588 253,406 213,430 381,544 302,112 105,424
Source: CBS.
Explanation of symbols

Table explanation


This table contains forecasts (including intervals) of the population of The Netherlands on 1 January by age groups (three age-groups) and population dynamics: live births, deaths and external migration. Furthermore, the table contains information about the total fertility rate, demographic pressure and (period) life expectancy at birth and at age 65 by sex.

Data available from: 2023-2070

Status of the figures:
The figures in this table are calculated forecasts.

Changes as of 15 December 2023:
In this new table, the previous forecast is adjusted based on the most recent insights, the forecast period now runs from 2023 to 2070.

When will new figures be published?
New figures will appear December 2026.

Description topics

Total population
Live births
Deaths
External migration
Immigration
Arrival in the Netherlands from another country.
Emigration (incl. net adm. corr.)
Departure from the Netherlands to another country (including net
administrative corrections).
Net migration (incl. net adm. corr.)
Immigration minus emigration (including net administrative corrections).