Key figures of the population forecasts 2012-2060

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Key figures of the population forecasts 2012-2060
Forecast(-interval) Periods Total population (aantal) Demographic pressure Total pressure (%) Live births (number) Total fertility rate (number) Deaths (number) Life expectancy at birth Men (year) Life expectancy at birth Women (year) External migration Net migration (incl. net adm. corr.) (number)
Forecast 2012 175,779 1.72 139,404 79.22 82.82 10,917
Forecast 2013 16,777,636 66.4 175,916 1.72 141,166 79.41 82.94 11,744
Forecast 2014 16,824,132 67.3 176,533 1.73 142,899 79.61 83.07 12,883
Forecast 2015 16,870,652 68.1 178,091 1.74 144,614 79.79 83.19 16,055
Forecast 2016 16,920,182 68.9 179,448 1.74 146,317 79.98 83.32 19,739
Forecast 2017 16,973,054 69.6 181,209 1.75 148,019 80.17 83.45 23,928
Forecast 2018 17,030,172 70.4 182,519 1.75 149,731 80.36 83.58 23,358
Forecast 2019 17,086,316 71.0 183,807 1.75 151,464 80.54 83.71 22,352
Forecast 2020 17,141,012 71.7 184,957 1.75 153,230 80.73 83.84 21,131
Forecast 2021 17,193,872 72.3 186,117 1.75 155,058 80.91 83.97 20,173
Forecast 2022 17,245,100 73.0 186,908 1.75 156,967 81.09 84.10 19,337
Forecast 2023 17,294,382 73.8 187,657 1.75 158,965 81.27 84.23 19,309
Forecast 2024 17,342,378 74.6 188,508 1.75 161,052 81.45 84.36 19,263
Forecast 2025 17,389,100 75.7 189,020 1.75 163,224 81.62 84.48 19,195
Forecast 2026 17,434,090 76.8 189,371 1.75 165,460 81.80 84.61 19,135
Forecast 2027 17,477,134 78.1 189,680 1.75 167,740 81.97 84.75 19,067
Forecast 2028 17,518,146 79.5 189,943 1.75 170,037 82.14 84.88 18,976
Forecast 2029 17,557,028 80.8 190,085 1.75 172,334 82.32 85.03 18,976
Forecast 2030 17,593,752 82.2 190,079 1.75 174,616 82.49 85.17 18,911
Forecast 2031 17,628,132 83.4 189,813 1.75 176,861 82.66 85.33 18,886
Forecast 2032 17,659,968 84.7 189,375 1.75 179,043 82.83 85.48 18,841
Forecast 2033 17,689,140 86.0 188,725 1.75 181,137 82.99 85.65 18,858
Forecast 2034 17,715,584 87.2 187,875 1.75 183,139 83.16 85.82 18,865
Forecast 2035 17,739,188 88.6 186,898 1.75 185,044 83.32 85.99 18,841
Forecast 2036 17,759,880 89.8 185,834 1.75 186,837 83.49 86.16 18,878
Forecast 2037 17,777,760 90.8 184,759 1.75 188,504 83.65 86.34 18,867
Forecast 2038 17,792,876 91.5 183,741 1.75 190,033 83.81 86.51 18,839
Forecast 2039 17,805,424 91.8 182,789 1.75 191,415 83.97 86.68 18,835
Forecast 2040 17,815,632 91.9 181,960 1.75 192,646 84.13 86.85 18,884
Forecast 2041 17,823,826 91.8 181,284 1.75 193,729 84.29 87.02 18,873
Forecast 2042 17,830,260 91.6 180,794 1.75 194,667 84.44 87.19 18,786
Forecast 2043 17,835,172 91.3 180,486 1.75 195,464 84.60 87.36 18,741
Forecast 2044 17,838,936 91.1 180,376 1.75 196,113 84.75 87.52 18,641
Forecast 2045 17,841,840 90.8 180,455 1.75 196,647 84.91 87.68 18,570
Forecast 2046 17,844,216 90.6 180,726 1.75 197,063 85.06 87.84 18,459
Forecast 2047 17,846,332 90.3 181,165 1.75 197,447 85.21 87.99 18,423
Forecast 2048 17,848,480 89.9 181,713 1.75 197,845 85.36 88.15 18,341
Forecast 2049 17,850,684 89.5 182,340 1.75 198,255 85.51 88.30 18,252
Forecast 2050 17,853,024 89.2 183,009 1.75 198,653 85.65 88.45 18,144
Forecast 2051 17,855,522 89.0 183,694 1.75 199,009 85.80 88.60 18,052
Forecast 2052 17,858,264 88.8 184,370 1.75 199,282 85.95 88.75 17,911
Forecast 2053 17,861,256 88.7 185,014 1.75 199,445 86.09 88.90 17,809
Forecast 2054 17,864,636 88.6 185,601 1.75 199,463 86.23 89.04 17,719
Forecast 2055 17,868,492 88.6 186,115 1.75 199,308 86.38 89.18 17,618
Forecast 2056 17,872,920 88.7 186,546 1.75 198,955 86.52 89.33 17,550
Forecast 2057 17,878,058 88.8 186,889 1.75 198,390 86.66 89.47 17,453
Forecast 2058 17,884,010 89.0 187,136 1.75 197,607 86.80 89.60 17,358
Forecast 2059 17,890,894 89.1 187,286 1.75 196,600 86.93 89.74 17,300
Forecast 2060 17,898,882 89.3 . . . . . .
Lower limit 95% forecast-interval 2012 167,685 1.65 129,007 78.45 82.05 -18,490
Lower limit 95% forecast-interval 2013 16,745,670 66.3 164,986 1.62 127,439 78.32 81.85 -25,117
Lower limit 95% forecast-interval 2014 16,756,795 67.0 163,024 1.60 126,785 78.28 81.74 -30,598
Lower limit 95% forecast-interval 2015 16,758,692 67.6 161,812 1.59 126,362 78.25 81.65 -31,196
Lower limit 95% forecast-interval 2016 16,764,982 68.1 160,195 1.57 126,352 78.26 81.60 -30,197
Lower limit 95% forecast-interval 2017 16,763,311 68.6 159,531 1.56 125,940 78.28 81.56 -27,475
Lower limit 95% forecast-interval 2018 16,774,596 69.1 159,391 1.55 126,519 78.32 81.54 -28,395
Lower limit 95% forecast-interval 2019 16,769,845 69.5 160,012 1.54 127,483 78.36 81.53 -29,362
Lower limit 95% forecast-interval 2020 16,774,184 69.9 159,807 1.52 128,418 78.42 81.53 -30,053
Lower limit 95% forecast-interval 2021 16,781,238 70.1 159,463 1.51 128,744 78.48 81.54 -30,734
Lower limit 95% forecast-interval 2022 16,783,120 70.5 158,679 1.50 129,350 78.54 81.55 -32,308
Lower limit 95% forecast-interval 2023 16,776,942 70.9 158,298 1.49 130,317 78.60 81.56 -32,854
Lower limit 95% forecast-interval 2024 16,772,088 71.4 157,907 1.48 131,117 78.67 81.58 -33,172
Lower limit 95% forecast-interval 2025 16,741,003 72.1 156,991 1.47 132,815 78.74 81.60 -33,956
Lower limit 95% forecast-interval 2026 16,732,454 73.0 156,189 1.46 134,635 78.82 81.63 -34,162
Lower limit 95% forecast-interval 2027 16,725,593 73.8 155,105 1.45 136,976 78.89 81.67 -33,592
Lower limit 95% forecast-interval 2028 16,698,342 74.6 154,016 1.44 137,941 78.97 81.71 -32,281
Lower limit 95% forecast-interval 2029 16,681,387 75.5 152,814 1.43 139,172 79.05 81.76 -32,086
Lower limit 95% forecast-interval 2030 16,670,932 76.3 151,629 1.42 140,114 79.13 81.81 -31,523
Lower limit 95% forecast-interval 2031 16,669,422 77.1 150,651 1.41 141,945 79.22 81.89 -31,690
Lower limit 95% forecast-interval 2032 16,649,697 77.8 149,231 1.40 144,097 79.30 81.95 -32,286
Lower limit 95% forecast-interval 2033 16,611,748 78.5 147,959 1.39 146,421 79.38 82.04 -33,262
Lower limit 95% forecast-interval 2034 16,598,333 79.5 146,166 1.39 148,598 79.47 82.13 -33,670
Lower limit 95% forecast-interval 2035 16,543,406 80.7 143,912 1.38 150,453 79.55 82.22 -33,438
Lower limit 95% forecast-interval 2036 16,513,792 81.6 141,607 1.37 152,037 79.64 82.31 -33,957
Lower limit 95% forecast-interval 2037 16,508,678 82.3 139,196 1.36 153,409 79.72 82.41 -34,055
Lower limit 95% forecast-interval 2038 16,487,072 82.6 137,451 1.35 154,751 79.81 82.51 -34,162
Lower limit 95% forecast-interval 2039 16,453,587 82.8 135,039 1.35 156,073 79.90 82.61 -33,942
Lower limit 95% forecast-interval 2040 16,407,883 82.8 132,865 1.34 156,682 79.98 82.70 -33,969
Lower limit 95% forecast-interval 2041 16,373,204 82.4 130,792 1.33 157,596 80.07 82.80 -33,990
Lower limit 95% forecast-interval 2042 16,320,118 81.9 129,603 1.33 158,313 80.15 82.90 -33,637
Lower limit 95% forecast-interval 2043 16,275,730 81.3 128,741 1.32 159,765 80.25 83.01 -33,890
Lower limit 95% forecast-interval 2044 16,206,522 80.8 127,407 1.31 160,048 80.33 83.10 -33,757
Lower limit 95% forecast-interval 2045 16,130,276 80.4 126,072 1.31 160,819 80.42 83.19 -34,372
Lower limit 95% forecast-interval 2046 16,088,400 80.0 124,896 1.30 160,526 80.51 83.29 -34,652
Lower limit 95% forecast-interval 2047 16,038,890 79.8 123,546 1.29 161,325 80.59 83.37 -35,643
Lower limit 95% forecast-interval 2048 15,985,693 79.4 122,203 1.29 161,609 80.68 83.47 -36,296
Lower limit 95% forecast-interval 2049 15,927,595 79.0 121,017 1.28 161,881 80.76 83.55 -37,163
Lower limit 95% forecast-interval 2050 15,886,659 78.7 121,086 1.28 161,029 80.84 83.64 -38,983
Lower limit 95% forecast-interval 2051 15,823,218 78.2 121,709 1.27 160,887 80.93 83.73 -39,616
Lower limit 95% forecast-interval 2052 15,747,151 78.0 121,796 1.26 161,196 81.02 83.82 -40,156
Lower limit 95% forecast-interval 2053 15,694,676 78.0 120,610 1.26 161,545 81.10 83.91 -40,823
Lower limit 95% forecast-interval 2054 15,657,190 77.5 119,713 1.25 161,518 81.18 83.99 -41,035
Lower limit 95% forecast-interval 2055 15,610,806 77.3 118,941 1.25 161,778 81.27 84.07 -40,029
Lower limit 95% forecast-interval 2056 15,578,871 77.2 118,647 1.24 162,507 81.36 84.17 -40,435
Lower limit 95% forecast-interval 2057 15,496,628 77.4 117,723 1.24 162,655 81.44 84.25 -40,617
Lower limit 95% forecast-interval 2058 15,447,201 77.4 116,159 1.23 162,365 81.52 84.32 -39,535
Lower limit 95% forecast-interval 2059 15,394,542 77.4 115,106 1.22 160,973 81.60 84.41 -42,081
Lower limit 95% forecast-interval 2060 15,355,996 77.5 . . . . . .
Upper limit 95% forecast-interval 2012 183,485 1.80 150,653 79.99 83.59 36,734
Upper limit 95% forecast-interval 2013 16,807,608 66.6 186,954 1.83 156,610 80.50 84.03 47,607
Source: CBS.
Explanation of symbols

Table explanation


This table contains forecasts (including intervals) of the population of The Netherlands on 1 January by age groups (three age-groups) and population dynamics: live births, deaths and external migration. Furthermore, the table contains information about the total fertility rate, demographic pressure and life expectancy at birth and at age 65 by sex.

Data available: 2012-2060

Status of the figures:
The figures in this table are calculated forecasts.

Changes as of 13 December 2012:
None, this table has been published once-only.

When will new figures be published?
New figures will appear December 2014 in a new table.

Description topics

Total population
Demographic pressure
Ratio between number of people aged over 65 and younger than 20, and the number of 20 to 65 year-olds. This ratio is an indicator of the pressure of the non-active population on the labour force.
Total pressure
The sum of the number of people aged between 0 and 20 and people aged 65 and over, in relation to people aged 20 to 65.
Live births
Total fertility rate
The total fertility rate gives an indication of how many children women
have on average. In order to calculate this figure, age-specific fertility
rates observed in a given calendar year are used which apply to
every childbearing age (ages between 15 and 50).
Deaths
Life expectancy at birth
The number of years men or women can expect to live at the moment they are born.
Men
Women
External migration
Net migration (incl. net adm. corr.)
Immigration minus emigration (including net administrative corrections).