Producer confidence improves in March
The long-term average over the past two decades is 0.2. Producer confidence reached an all-time high (10.9) in February 2018 and an all-time low (-28.7) in April 2020.
year | month | balance (average of the component questions) |
---|---|---|
2017 | April | 8.3 |
2017 | May | 6.1 |
2017 | June | 7.2 |
2017 | July | 6.6 |
2017 | August | 5.4 |
2017 | September | 8.5 |
2017 | October | 8.2 |
2017 | November | 9.1 |
2017 | December | 8.9 |
2018 | January | 10.3 |
2018 | February | 10.9 |
2018 | March | 9.5 |
2018 | April | 8.2 |
2018 | May | 9.8 |
2018 | June | 7.7 |
2018 | July | 6.3 |
2018 | August | 5.9 |
2018 | September | 5.7 |
2018 | October | 5.9 |
2018 | November | 7.2 |
2018 | December | 7.5 |
2019 | January | 5.8 |
2019 | February | 6.3 |
2019 | March | 6.1 |
2019 | April | 6.7 |
2019 | May | 4.7 |
2019 | Juni | 3.3 |
2019 | Juli | 3.9 |
2019 | August | 3.9 |
2019 | September | 3.3 |
2019 | October | 3.6 |
2019 | November | 2.8 |
2019 | December | 2.9 |
2020 | January | 2.5 |
2020 | February | 3.7 |
2020 | March | 0.2 |
2020 | April | -28.7 |
2020 | May | -25.1 |
2020 | June | -15.1 |
2020 | July | -8.7 |
2020 | August | -5.4 |
2020 | September | -4.8 |
2020 | October | -5.6 |
2020 | November | -3.8 |
2020 | December | -0.4 |
2021 | January | 0.6 |
2021 | February | 0.1 |
2021 | March | 3.4 |
Manufacturers more positive about future output
In March, manufacturers are more optimistic about future output than in the previous month. They are also more positive about their order position. Their opinion on stocks of finished products remains the same as in February.
Manufacturers’ opinions on all three component indicators are positive. There are fewer manufacturers who define their current stocks of finished products as too large rather than too small. Manufacturers who anticipate output to increase over the next three months outnumber those expecting a decrease. More manufacturers consider their order position to be strong rather than weak, given the time of year.
Confidence highest in timber and building materials industry
In March, producer confidence is highest in the timber and building materials industry. Confidence increased in six out of the eight industries shown below, while it deteriorated in two others. The most negative opinions are found in the food, beverages and tobacco industry.
March 2021 (average of the component questions) | February 2021 (average of the component questions) | |
---|---|---|
Timber and building materials | 14.5 | 4.9 |
Electrotechnical products and machinery | 11.1 | 4.1 |
Transport equipment | 10.4 | 7.1 |
Petroleum | 8.2 | 3.8 |
Paper and printing | 1.7 | -6.5 |
Textiles, clothes, leather | 0.1 | -6.7 |
Metal | -0.2 | 2 |
Food, beverages, tobacco | -4.8 | -3.4 |
Manufacturing output 0.6 up in January
In January 2021, the average daily output generated by the Dutch manufacturing industry was 0.6 percent up on January 2020. This was a slightly bigger increase than in December, when output was 0.2 percent higher than one year previously.
Producer confidence also improving in Germany
Germany is an important foreign market for the Dutch manufacturing industry. German producer confidence improved considerably in March, according to the Business Climate Index of the IFO Institute. This is due to both an improved outlook on future output and a more positive opinion about the current situation. In January, the average daily output generated by the German manufacturing industry contracted by more than 3 percent year-on-year, as reported by Destatis.
Sources
Related items
- Dossier - Business cycle