Mortality continues to rise in week 44

06/11/2020 15:00

More recent figures are available on this topic. View the latest figures here.

In week 44 (26 October to 1 November inclusive), the estimated number of deaths stood at 3,600. This is over 200 more than in the previous week, when there were 3,419 deaths. Mortality was elevated in week 44, with 700 more deaths recorded than normally expected in this period. Statistics Netherlands (CBS) reports this based on a provisional weekly death count.

Estimated mortality, 2020*
	Deaths	Estimated mortality	Estimated mortality (95% interval)
1	3103	3277	2908 – 3645
2	3365	3311	2930 – 3692
3	3157	3344	2945 – 3742
4	3046	3392	3008 – 3776
5	3162	3407	3027 – 3788
6	3193	3401	2979 – 3823
7	3199	3408	2916 – 3901
8	2959	3387	2851 – 3922
9	3097	3352	2805 – 3898
10	3105	3315	2785 – 3845
11	3217	3253	2756 – 3751
12	3615	3174	2711 – 3637
13	4459	3104	2703 – 3505
14	5084	3024	2712 – 3337
15	4979	2957	2719 – 3195
16	4304	2915	2711 – 3120
17	3907	2869	2677 – 3060
18	3378	2841	2650 – 3032
19	2986	2821	2633 – 3009
20	2774	2794	2626 – 2962
21	2770	2770	2620 – 2920
22	2726	2753	2608 – 2898
23	2682	2735	2591 – 2880
24	2691	2737	2600 – 2875
25	2694	2725	2594 – 2855
26	2659	2717	2577 – 2857
27	2636	2723	2544 – 2902
28	2618	2719	2515 – 2923
29	2527	2720	2507 – 2934
30	2672	2707	2515 – 2900
31	2662	2687	2492 – 2882
32	2638	2682	2483 – 2881
33	3207	2669	2481 – 2857
34	2849	2663	2510 – 2815
35	2731	2667	2526 – 2807
36	2684	2676	2549 – 2804
37	2735	2698	2564 – 2832
38	2713	2729	2585 – 2873
39	2883	2752	2618 – 2886
40	2994	2786	2628 – 2943
41	3011	2807	2655 – 2960
42	3208	2839	2677 – 3001
43	3419	2862	2661 – 3063
44	3617	2889	2683 – 3095
45		2902	2692 – 3111
46		2932	2710 – 3155
47		2972	2742 – 3202
48		3012	2762 – 3263
49		3037	2742 – 3332
50		3100	2800 – 3399
51		3166	2830 – 3501
52		3222	2871 – 3573
* Provisional figures. Week 44 is an estimate.

Estimated mortality, 2020*
	Deaths	Estimated mortality	Estimated mortality (95% interval)
1	3103	3277	2908 – 3645
2	3365	3311	2930 – 3692
3	3157	3344	2945 – 3742
4	3046	3392	3008 – 3776
5	3162	3407	3027 – 3788
6	3193	3401	2979 – 3823
7	3199	3408	2916 – 3901
8	2959	3387	2851 – 3922
9	3097	3352	2805 – 3898
10	3105	3315	2785 – 3845
11	3217	3253	2756 – 3751
12	3615	3174	2711 – 3637
13	4459	3104	2703 – 3505
14	5084	3024	2712 – 3337
15	4979	2957	2719 – 3195
16	4304	2915	2711 – 3120
17	3907	2869	2677 – 3060
18	3378	2841	2650 – 3032
19	2986	2821	2633 – 3009
20	2774	2794	2626 – 2962
21	2770	2770	2620 – 2920
22	2726	2753	2608 – 2898
23	2682	2735	2591 – 2880
24	2691	2737	2600 – 2875
25	2694	2725	2594 – 2855
26	2659	2717	2577 – 2857
27	2636	2723	2544 – 2902
28	2618	2719	2515 – 2923
29	2527	2720	2507 – 2934
30	2672	2707	2515 – 2900
31	2662	2687	2492 – 2882
32	2638	2682	2483 – 2881
33	3207	2669	2481 – 2857
34	2849	2663	2510 – 2815
35	2731	2667	2526 – 2807
36	2684	2676	2549 – 2804
37	2735	2698	2564 – 2832
38	2713	2729	2585 – 2873
39	2883	2752	2618 – 2886
40	2994	2786	2628 – 2943
41	3011	2807	2655 – 2960
42	3208	2839	2677 – 3001
43	3419	2862	2661 – 3063
44	3617	2889	2683 – 3095
45		2902	2692 – 3111
46		2932	2710 – 3155
47		2972	2742 – 3202
48		3012	2762 – 3263
49		3037	2742 – 3332
50		3100	2800 – 3399
51		3166	2830 – 3501
52		3222	2871 – 3573
* Provisional figures. Week 44 is an estimate.

Mortality up mainly among long-term care users

In week 44, the number of deaths increased mainly among people receiving care under the Long-term Care Act (Wlz), such as residents of nursing homes. Based on the estimate, nearly 1,500 long-term care users passed away in week 44, 200 more than in the previous week. There were over 2,100 deaths among the rest of the population, slightly more than in week 43.

Estimated mortality, 2020*
	Long-term care (Wlz) users, deaths	Long-term care (Wlz) users, estimated mortality	Long-term care (Wlz) users, estimated mortality (95% interval)	Other population, deaths	Other population, estimated mortality	Other population, estimated mortality (95% interval)
1	1210	1252	1052 – 1451	1893	2025	1780 – 2270
2	1265	1272	1076 – 1468	2100	2039	1793 – 2285
3	1135	1282	1086 – 1478	2022	2062	1805 – 2319
4	1125	1301	1113 – 1489	1921	2091	1842 – 2339
5	1098	1310	1118 – 1503	2064	2097	1853 – 2341
6	1142	1309	1099 – 1519	2051	2092	1826 – 2358
7	1155	1309	1069 – 1549	2044	2099	1796 – 2403
8	1129	1296	1044 – 1549	1830	2091	1762 – 2419
9	1195	1276	1005 – 1546	1902	2076	1756 – 2396
10	1164	1260	989 – 1531	1941	2056	1752 – 2359
11	1200	1229	950 – 1507	2017	2025	1741 – 2308
12	1335	1191	928 – 1454	2280	1983	1714 – 2252
13	1656	1156	912 – 1400	2803	1948	1715 – 2180
14	2212	1120	915 – 1326	2872	1904	1709 – 2100
15	2409	1091	910 – 1273	2570	1866	1709 – 2022
16	2066	1075	912 – 1238	2238	1840	1691 – 1990
17	1716	1055	898 – 1211	2191	1814	1663 – 1965
18	1429	1048	900 – 1195	1949	1793	1643 – 1944
19	1186	1038	897 – 1179	1800	1783	1631 – 1935
20	1031	1029	902 – 1155	1743	1765	1615 – 1915
21	1069	1015	892 – 1138	1701	1755	1615 – 1895
22	1004	1007	887 – 1127	1722	1746	1602 – 1890
23	909	995	886 – 1104	1773	1740	1585 – 1895
24	958	997	888 – 1106	1733	1740	1592 – 1889
25	912	989	879 – 1099	1782	1736	1585 – 1886
26	940	985	864 – 1107	1719	1732	1585 – 1879
27	931	992	850 – 1134	1705	1731	1567 – 1896
28	911	998	849 – 1147	1707	1721	1552 – 1890
29	900	1003	855 – 1152	1627	1717	1555 – 1879
30	957	1004	854 – 1154	1715	1704	1553 – 1855
31	946	997	851 – 1143	1716	1690	1540 – 1840
32	904	993	846 – 1140	1734	1690	1546 – 1834
33	1311	987	840 – 1134	1896	1682	1531 – 1832
34	1113	980	849 – 1111	1736	1683	1553 – 1813
35	995	974	860 – 1087	1736	1693	1550 – 1835
36	942	973	860 – 1087	1742	1703	1562 – 1844
37	942	977	865 – 1089	1793	1721	1579 – 1862
38	980	989	876 – 1102	1733	1740	1594 – 1886
39	1054	1001	892 – 1110	1829	1751	1606 – 1896
40	1076	1015	897 – 1133	1918	1771	1632 – 1909
41	1090	1028	908 – 1147	1921	1780	1638 – 1922
42	1216	1042	910 – 1175	1992	1797	1663 – 1930
43	1314	1054	912 – 1195	2105	1808	1650 – 1966
44	1485	1068	920 – 1215	2132	1821	1662 – 1981
45		1074	925 – 1224		1827	1664 – 1991
46		1086	936 – 1235		1846	1678 – 2014
47		1102	953 – 1252		1870	1684 – 2056
48		1121	964 – 1278		1892	1702 – 2081
49		1135	970 – 1300		1901	1683 – 2120
50		1163	996 – 1329		1937	1721 – 2153
51		1193	1019 – 1368		1972	1739 – 2205
52		1223	1035 – 1410		1999	1763 – 2236
* Provisional figures. Week 44 is an estimate.

Estimated mortality, 2020*
	Long-term care (Wlz) users, deaths	Long-term care (Wlz) users, estimated mortality	Long-term care (Wlz) users, estimated mortality (95% interval)	Other population, deaths	Other population, estimated mortality	Other population, estimated mortality (95% interval)
1	1210	1252	1052 – 1451	1893	2025	1780 – 2270
2	1265	1272	1076 – 1468	2100	2039	1793 – 2285
3	1135	1282	1086 – 1478	2022	2062	1805 – 2319
4	1125	1301	1113 – 1489	1921	2091	1842 – 2339
5	1098	1310	1118 – 1503	2064	2097	1853 – 2341
6	1142	1309	1099 – 1519	2051	2092	1826 – 2358
7	1155	1309	1069 – 1549	2044	2099	1796 – 2403
8	1129	1296	1044 – 1549	1830	2091	1762 – 2419
9	1195	1276	1005 – 1546	1902	2076	1756 – 2396
10	1164	1260	989 – 1531	1941	2056	1752 – 2359
11	1200	1229	950 – 1507	2017	2025	1741 – 2308
12	1335	1191	928 – 1454	2280	1983	1714 – 2252
13	1656	1156	912 – 1400	2803	1948	1715 – 2180
14	2212	1120	915 – 1326	2872	1904	1709 – 2100
15	2409	1091	910 – 1273	2570	1866	1709 – 2022
16	2066	1075	912 – 1238	2238	1840	1691 – 1990
17	1716	1055	898 – 1211	2191	1814	1663 – 1965
18	1429	1048	900 – 1195	1949	1793	1643 – 1944
19	1186	1038	897 – 1179	1800	1783	1631 – 1935
20	1031	1029	902 – 1155	1743	1765	1615 – 1915
21	1069	1015	892 – 1138	1701	1755	1615 – 1895
22	1004	1007	887 – 1127	1722	1746	1602 – 1890
23	909	995	886 – 1104	1773	1740	1585 – 1895
24	958	997	888 – 1106	1733	1740	1592 – 1889
25	912	989	879 – 1099	1782	1736	1585 – 1886
26	940	985	864 – 1107	1719	1732	1585 – 1879
27	931	992	850 – 1134	1705	1731	1567 – 1896
28	911	998	849 – 1147	1707	1721	1552 – 1890
29	900	1003	855 – 1152	1627	1717	1555 – 1879
30	957	1004	854 – 1154	1715	1704	1553 – 1855
31	946	997	851 – 1143	1716	1690	1540 – 1840
32	904	993	846 – 1140	1734	1690	1546 – 1834
33	1311	987	840 – 1134	1896	1682	1531 – 1832
34	1113	980	849 – 1111	1736	1683	1553 – 1813
35	995	974	860 – 1087	1736	1693	1550 – 1835
36	942	973	860 – 1087	1742	1703	1562 – 1844
37	942	977	865 – 1089	1793	1721	1579 – 1862
38	980	989	876 – 1102	1733	1740	1594 – 1886
39	1054	1001	892 – 1110	1829	1751	1606 – 1896
40	1076	1015	897 – 1133	1918	1771	1632 – 1909
41	1090	1028	908 – 1147	1921	1780	1638 – 1922
42	1216	1042	910 – 1175	1992	1797	1663 – 1930
43	1314	1054	912 – 1195	2105	1808	1650 – 1966
44	1485	1068	920 – 1215	2132	1821	1662 – 1981
45		1074	925 – 1224		1827	1664 – 1991
46		1086	936 – 1235		1846	1678 – 2014
47		1102	953 – 1252		1870	1684 – 2056
48		1121	964 – 1278		1892	1702 – 2081
49		1135	970 – 1300		1901	1683 – 2120
50		1163	996 – 1329		1937	1721 – 2153
51		1193	1019 – 1368		1972	1739 – 2205
52		1223	1035 – 1410		1999	1763 – 2236
* Provisional figures. Week 44 is an estimate.

Mainly seniors

In week 44, mortality was higher than expected mainly among people aged 65 and over, just as in the previous week. The estimates for week 44 include 2,050 people aged 80 years and over, and 1,150 people aged 65 to 79 years. Compared to the previous week, mortality rose more sharply among women than among men. This was the other way around in week 43. In week 44, around half of deaths were men.

Estimated mortality, 2020*
	Population 0 to 65 years, deaths	Population 0 to 65 years, estimated mortality	Population 0 to 65 years, estimated mortality (95% interval)	Population 65 to 80 years, deaths	Population 65 to 80 years, estimated mortality	Population 65 to 80 years, estimated mortality (95% interval)	Population 80 years and older, deaths	Population 80 years and older, estimated mortality	Population 80 years and older, estimated mortality (95% interval)
1	385	415	374 – 456	896	947	852 – 1041	1822	1918	1632 – 2204
2	432	413	371 – 456	967	944	851 – 1038	1966	1957	1650 – 2263
3	418	415	371 – 460	913	944	851 – 1038	1826	1988	1657 – 2319
4	352	417	374 – 459	936	949	856 – 1043	1758	2030	1701 – 2360
5	449	417	375 – 460	924	956	857 – 1056	1789	2039	1717 – 2360
6	400	417	371 – 463	981	957	843 – 1071	1812	2032	1691 – 2373
7	409	420	374 – 466	938	961	832 – 1091	1852	2032	1649 – 2415
8	340	420	374 – 467	870	961	815 – 1108	1749	2009	1600 – 2418
9	404	420	370 – 470	911	951	805 – 1096	1782	1984	1574 – 2394
10	393	417	370 – 464	889	944	804 – 1085	1823	1957	1557 – 2357
11	408	415	367 – 463	949	932	803 – 1062	1860	1909	1537 – 2281
12	450	410	364 – 456	1079	917	796 – 1039	2086	1849	1503 – 2195
13	502	407	366 – 448	1402	907	806 – 1008	2555	1791	1486 – 2097
14	498	401	357 – 444	1503	889	806 – 972	3083	1735	1490 – 1981
15	483	394	355 – 432	1435	876	809 – 942	3061	1688	1496 – 1880
16	426	389	350 – 427	1232	867	799 – 935	2646	1660	1505 – 1815
17	454	383	341 – 425	1154	857	787 – 926	2299	1630	1490 – 1769
18	443	381	342 – 419	999	847	779 – 916	1936	1613	1472 – 1755
19	390	380	339 – 420	914	845	777 – 912	1682	1597	1458 – 1735
20	373	378	339 – 418	833	834	768 – 901	1568	1581	1460 – 1703
21	368	377	335 – 419	805	832	766 – 898	1597	1560	1459 – 1661
22	366	376	330 – 422	858	830	764 – 895	1502	1547	1451 – 1643
23	385	378	335 – 421	836	827	767 – 887	1461	1529	1425 – 1634
24	407	383	340 – 425	835	829	770 – 888	1449	1525	1431 – 1619
25	375	382	341 – 423	856	827	765 – 889	1463	1514	1427 – 1601
26	381	384	342 – 426	828	825	763 – 887	1450	1507	1407 – 1606
27	402	385	342 – 428	807	829	764 – 894	1427	1507	1375 – 1639
28	389	386	347 – 424	812	830	760 – 899	1417	1501	1352 – 1650
29	372	389	351 – 426	774	830	762 – 899	1381	1499	1337 – 1661
30	408	387	349 – 425	821	828	759 – 896	1443	1491	1343 – 1639
31	373	383	347 – 419	842	824	752 – 896	1447	1478	1334 – 1622
32	418	384	345 – 423	820	829	755 – 904	1400	1467	1318 – 1615
33	463	382	345 – 418	928	826	749 – 904	1816	1459	1325 – 1592
34	416	382	342 – 422	860	829	756 – 901	1573	1450	1346 – 1554
35	352	384	338 – 429	863	831	761 – 900	1516	1450	1354 – 1546
36	413	385	339 – 431	826	833	766 – 900	1445	1456	1373 – 1538
37	392	390	343 – 437	894	839	773 – 905	1449	1466	1383 – 1548
38	392	397	350 – 445	842	850	777 – 923	1479	1479	1390 – 1568
39	390	396	346 – 447	876	855	785 – 924	1617	1498	1416 – 1580
40	433	400	348 – 453	911	865	789 – 941	1650	1518	1416 – 1620
41	376	400	354 – 447	985	868	785 – 950	1650	1537	1436 – 1638
42	429	405	360 – 449	979	872	788 – 956	1800	1560	1446 – 1674
43	417	406	362 – 450	1067	878	787 – 969	1935	1576	1438 – 1713
44	418	403	360 – 447	1161	888	798 – 979	2038	1595	1443 – 1748
45		403	362 – 443		890	807 – 973		1607	1441 – 1774
46		408	369 – 446		898	814 – 982		1625	1449 – 1801
47		411	376 – 447		913	829 – 996		1647	1468 – 1826
48		414	377 – 450		925	845 – 1005		1673	1482 – 1863
49		411	373 – 450		933	843 – 1022		1692	1481 – 1903
50		413	374 – 451		938	853 – 1023		1749	1525 – 1973
51		416	378 – 454		941	848 – 1034		1809	1563 – 2056
52		415	375 – 455		944	849 – 1039		1865	1598 – 2132
* Provisional figures. Week 44 is an estimate.

Estimated mortality, 2020*
	Population 0 to 65 years, deaths	Population 0 to 65 years, estimated mortality	Population 0 to 65 years, estimated mortality (95% interval)	Population 65 to 80 years, deaths	Population 65 to 80 years, estimated mortality	Population 65 to 80 years, estimated mortality (95% interval)	Population 80 years and older, deaths	Population 80 years and older, estimated mortality	Population 80 years and older, estimated mortality (95% interval)
1	385	415	374 – 456	896	947	852 – 1041	1822	1918	1632 – 2204
2	432	413	371 – 456	967	944	851 – 1038	1966	1957	1650 – 2263
3	418	415	371 – 460	913	944	851 – 1038	1826	1988	1657 – 2319
4	352	417	374 – 459	936	949	856 – 1043	1758	2030	1701 – 2360
5	449	417	375 – 460	924	956	857 – 1056	1789	2039	1717 – 2360
6	400	417	371 – 463	981	957	843 – 1071	1812	2032	1691 – 2373
7	409	420	374 – 466	938	961	832 – 1091	1852	2032	1649 – 2415
8	340	420	374 – 467	870	961	815 – 1108	1749	2009	1600 – 2418
9	404	420	370 – 470	911	951	805 – 1096	1782	1984	1574 – 2394
10	393	417	370 – 464	889	944	804 – 1085	1823	1957	1557 – 2357
11	408	415	367 – 463	949	932	803 – 1062	1860	1909	1537 – 2281
12	450	410	364 – 456	1079	917	796 – 1039	2086	1849	1503 – 2195
13	502	407	366 – 448	1402	907	806 – 1008	2555	1791	1486 – 2097
14	498	401	357 – 444	1503	889	806 – 972	3083	1735	1490 – 1981
15	483	394	355 – 432	1435	876	809 – 942	3061	1688	1496 – 1880
16	426	389	350 – 427	1232	867	799 – 935	2646	1660	1505 – 1815
17	454	383	341 – 425	1154	857	787 – 926	2299	1630	1490 – 1769
18	443	381	342 – 419	999	847	779 – 916	1936	1613	1472 – 1755
19	390	380	339 – 420	914	845	777 – 912	1682	1597	1458 – 1735
20	373	378	339 – 418	833	834	768 – 901	1568	1581	1460 – 1703
21	368	377	335 – 419	805	832	766 – 898	1597	1560	1459 – 1661
22	366	376	330 – 422	858	830	764 – 895	1502	1547	1451 – 1643
23	385	378	335 – 421	836	827	767 – 887	1461	1529	1425 – 1634
24	407	383	340 – 425	835	829	770 – 888	1449	1525	1431 – 1619
25	375	382	341 – 423	856	827	765 – 889	1463	1514	1427 – 1601
26	381	384	342 – 426	828	825	763 – 887	1450	1507	1407 – 1606
27	402	385	342 – 428	807	829	764 – 894	1427	1507	1375 – 1639
28	389	386	347 – 424	812	830	760 – 899	1417	1501	1352 – 1650
29	372	389	351 – 426	774	830	762 – 899	1381	1499	1337 – 1661
30	408	387	349 – 425	821	828	759 – 896	1443	1491	1343 – 1639
31	373	383	347 – 419	842	824	752 – 896	1447	1478	1334 – 1622
32	418	384	345 – 423	820	829	755 – 904	1400	1467	1318 – 1615
33	463	382	345 – 418	928	826	749 – 904	1816	1459	1325 – 1592
34	416	382	342 – 422	860	829	756 – 901	1573	1450	1346 – 1554
35	352	384	338 – 429	863	831	761 – 900	1516	1450	1354 – 1546
36	413	385	339 – 431	826	833	766 – 900	1445	1456	1373 – 1538
37	392	390	343 – 437	894	839	773 – 905	1449	1466	1383 – 1548
38	392	397	350 – 445	842	850	777 – 923	1479	1479	1390 – 1568
39	390	396	346 – 447	876	855	785 – 924	1617	1498	1416 – 1580
40	433	400	348 – 453	911	865	789 – 941	1650	1518	1416 – 1620
41	376	400	354 – 447	985	868	785 – 950	1650	1537	1436 – 1638
42	429	405	360 – 449	979	872	788 – 956	1800	1560	1446 – 1674
43	417	406	362 – 450	1067	878	787 – 969	1935	1576	1438 – 1713
44	418	403	360 – 447	1161	888	798 – 979	2038	1595	1443 – 1748
45		403	362 – 443		890	807 – 973		1607	1441 – 1774
46		408	369 – 446		898	814 – 982		1625	1449 – 1801
47		411	376 – 447		913	829 – 996		1647	1468 – 1826
48		414	377 – 450		925	845 – 1005		1673	1482 – 1863
49		411	373 – 450		933	843 – 1022		1692	1481 – 1903
50		413	374 – 451		938	853 – 1023		1749	1525 – 1973
51		416	378 – 454		941	848 – 1034		1809	1563 – 2056
52		415	375 – 455		944	849 – 1039		1865	1598 – 2132
* Provisional figures. Week 44 is an estimate.

Mortality as of week 39 higher than expected

As of week 39, weekly mortality is higher than expected. With the exception of elevated mortality in weeks 33 and 34 during the heat wave, the average weekly death count fell slightly below the expected levels as of week 19 had there not been a coronavirus epidemic. Prior to this, mortality was elevated for nine weeks on account of the COVID-19 epidemic. During the first wave of the epidemic, 10 thousand people died for whom COVID-19 was the confirmed or suspected cause of death.

For week 44 and as at 3 November, the municipal health services (GGD) reported 285 confirmed COVID-19 deaths to the National Institute for Public Health and the Environment (RIVM), and 332 confirmed cases for week 43. The actual COVID-19-related death count in the Netherlands is likely to turn out higher because of the following reasons: possibly not all people with COVID-19 have themselves tested, there is no obligation to report COVID-19 deaths and registration sometimes takes a little longer.

Estimate

The figures for week 44 are estimates, based on 83 percent of the overall number of death records to be received by CBS. CBS will publish provisional weekly mortality figures for week 44 on Friday 13 November. The figures will be more complete by then.

Sources

StatLine - Deaths registered weekly, by sex and age

Mortality up mainly among long-term care users

Mainly seniors

Mortality as of week 39 higher than expected

Estimate

Sources

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